Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 19, 2021

February 19, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Goodluckchuck 6.00 0.7 1-1
1 1 Walk Away Joe 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Team Effort 12.00 2.7 5-1
2A 2 Even Thunder 2.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lectric Choke 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Colonel Juan 1.80 3.7 7-1
3A 3 Jamminwithbrandon 2.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Find Your Boaz 15.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Scoreswhenhewants 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Runner Runner Indy 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Holy Saint 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Korczak 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Ghost On a Mission 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Blue Sky Painter 2.50 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ribbons and Medals 8.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Bakeneko 3.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Uncommon Valor 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Sebastian 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Big Eddie B 15.00 2 4-1
3 3 Mr. Shades of Gray 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Chauffeur 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Crying for More 6.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ticker Tape Parade 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Five Card Draw 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Jack Straight 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Spokane Eagle 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Victory Given 15.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Higher Purpose 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Top Me Off 15.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Suzzette Star 10.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Scamper Along 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Family Fortune 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Lookin for Candy 15.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Hot Choice 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Bodes Sunset 12.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Scarlet Tanager 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Eloquent Lady 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Wings of Fire 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Red Hot Kitten 50.00 2.4 5-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4A 4 Thunder Thighs 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Cookies and Cream 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Egg Nog 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Who’s Your Daddy 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Spritz of Sprite 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Tatica 15.00 2 4-1
8 8 Slip Slidin 20.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Used to Be Fun 10.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Gypsy’s Image 8.00 2.9 5-1
9A 9 Aprilness 2.50 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mit Mazel 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Wonderwall 1.80 1.5 3-1
3 3 Champagne Toast 20.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Hybrid Eclipse 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Malibu Beauty 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Good Measure 15.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Triple Digit 12.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Betcha by Golly 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Marvella Nasty 12.00 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dudley Square 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 V. I. P. Ticket 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Plot the Dots 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 McElmore Avenue 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Shotski 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Closer Look 12.00 1.6 3-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mice and Men 4.50 1.3 3-1
10 10 Baptize the Boy 5.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Justwaveandsmile 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Stone Courageous 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Band On Tour 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Forfiftyfiverocket 12.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Great Go Go 12.00 1.9 3-1
9 9 Tommy Shelby 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Whiskey and You 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Brooks Robinson 15.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tale of Dixie 10.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 War Light 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Union Charm 15.00 1.5 3-1
12 12 Lifespan 3.00 1.6 3-1
14 14 Sweet Asta 20.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Pardon the Pun 2.50 2.3 4-1
13 13 Neverfold 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Ricky Ricky 50.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Don Ciccio 20.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Eje Gama 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Day of Honor 6.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Royalian 30.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Padawhirk 30.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Boston Billy 12.00 2.7 5-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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