February 19, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Goodluckchuck | 6.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Walk Away Joe | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Team Effort | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Even Thunder | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lectric Choke | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colonel Juan | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Jamminwithbrandon | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Find Your Boaz | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scoreswhenhewants | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runner Runner Indy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Saint | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Korczak | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost On a Mission | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Sky Painter | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ribbons and Medals | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bakeneko | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncommon Valor | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sebastian | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Eddie B | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chauffeur | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crying for More | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ticker Tape Parade | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Five Card Draw | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Straight | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spokane Eagle | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Given | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Purpose | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Top Me Off | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Suzzette Star | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scamper Along | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Family Fortune | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin for Candy | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Choice | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bodes Sunset | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scarlet Tanager | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eloquent Lady | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wings of Fire | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Hot Kitten | 50.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Thunder Thighs | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cookies and Cream | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Egg Nog | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who’s Your Daddy | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spritz of Sprite | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tatica | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slip Slidin | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Used to Be Fun | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gypsy’s Image | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Aprilness | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mit Mazel | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wonderwall | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Toast | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hybrid Eclipse | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Beauty | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Measure | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Triple Digit | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Betcha by Golly | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marvella Nasty | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dudley Square | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | V. I. P. Ticket | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Plot the Dots | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | McElmore Avenue | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shotski | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Closer Look | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mice and Men | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Baptize the Boy | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justwaveandsmile | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stone Courageous | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Band On Tour | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Go Go | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tommy Shelby | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey and You | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brooks Robinson | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tale of Dixie | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Light | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Charm | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lifespan | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sweet Asta | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pardon the Pun | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Neverfold | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ricky Ricky | 50.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don Ciccio | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eje Gama | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day of Honor | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Royalian | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Padawhirk | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Billy | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.