Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 18, 2021

February 18, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dispense 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Talk Dirty 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Backspark 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Aspropodia 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Beach Chick 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Miss Moreno 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Allie and Jazzy 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Trashthetrailer 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Bella Sofi 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Fabiola Princess 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Starship Blanca 4.50 2 4-1
5 5 Lady Fiorella 1.60 2.5 5-1
3 3 Simple Story 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Freezer Burn 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Auburn 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Twilight Galaxy 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Gravel Gertie 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sidarth 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 4 Khozando 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 5 Uncle Pip 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Shoo Shine 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Braccio Di Ferro 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Hercules 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Brynbella 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Khosea 4.50 3.4 7-1
2 2 Map Em Up 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Joy in Grace 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Secrets Kept 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bertrada 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 My Desdemona 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Jedi Jane 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 2 Miss Mikaela 3.00 2 4-1
8 6 Chispita 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 3 Lunar Blast 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 5 The Biggest One 8.00 3 6-1
2 1 Sheza Happy Girl 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Exaggerated Moment 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Everthree 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Gimme Some Mo 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Exult 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 American Phenom 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Majestic Ro 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Call Curt 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Turn of Events 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Templet 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Well Done West 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 World Tour 4.50 2.1 4-1
11 10 Semble Juste (IRE) 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Deemed Essential 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Munnyfor Ro 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Unshakable U 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Make Me Laugh 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Iris the Empress 12.00 3.6 7-1
12 11 Sanura 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 9 Will Take All 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Kay’s Project 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 6 Miss Empirement 30.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Check Twice 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Green Mansions 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Dark Ages 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Please Sit Down 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Gangly 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Just Like Mike 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Honolulu Express 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Charlie the Greek 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Dardanellos 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 My Point Exactly 3.00 2 4-1
7 6 Kroy 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 8 Freedom Matters 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Mony 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 J P Hellish 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Souper Jaguar 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Balistico 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Totono 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Plenum 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Man of Vision 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 All Come True (FR) 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Hotsy Totsy (IRE) 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 4 Beam of Light 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Follow the Flag 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Zodiac Princess 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 5 Hera 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 8 Aizu 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 7 Holyanna 15.00 7.4 14-1
11 9 Feature Creature 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Lavi 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Get Rewarded 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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