February 18, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Rue Lala | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Louleigh | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Thirstyprospect | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Mollys Flyin High | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Bodie On Pointe | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
7 | 6 | Abigail G | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Totally Grace | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 3 | Treasury | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
7 | 2 | Absam | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
10 | 5 | Gold Double | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
5 | 1 | Ekati’s Verve | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 4 | Graves Mill Road | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Intentional Walk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Summer Palace | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Sliabh Aughty (FR) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Reigning Spirit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Defied | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Amazing American | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | King’s Prayer | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Diamond Palace | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | First Metal Count | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Disc One for Pete | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Pillage Da Village | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Ide B a Winner | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | It’suptoyoupal | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Closing American | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 7 | Deanos Cape | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
9 | 5 | Matheson | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
10 | 6 | In the Arch | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 1 | Briar Jumper | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 3 | On Base | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 4 | Botswana Taps | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
5 | 2 | Pocket Player | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
1 | 8 | Day Trip | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1A | 11 | Bad Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 1 | East Lex | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | One Hitter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Calculate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 12 | Jack the Ripper (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 13 | Junior Bug | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Cold Hearted Wench | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sharperthanme | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
8 | 6 | Orb’s Soul | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
7 | 5 | Miss Commish | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Summer Express | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
9 | 7 | Supersport Sally | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Meg and Clair | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Smart Pegasus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Smoothoutthetrack | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | 5 | Woman With a Book | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Bring Me a Check | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 1 | Majestic Sign | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 3 | Leader of Men | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
10 | 4 | Dickinson’s Image | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
1 | 1 | Candizar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Clint Maroon (GB) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Gunnison | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Half Ours to Keep | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Antarctic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Foldover | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Maraud | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Contact Tracing | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
4 | 3 | S Man | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | Citadel | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Run Far | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Birthday Party | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | Macho Mark | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | White Mist | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Okudah | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Desoto’s War | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Shackleford Strong | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
10 | 7 | Brew Crew | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 6 | In Sky We Trust | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Schmoozin | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 4 | Tap Attack | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 5 | Sangio Vasy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Skip the Smalltalk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | On the Muscle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Suggested | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Citizen West | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | No Quarter | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
12 | 11 | Our Last Shot | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Cajun Navy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Western Star | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Impressive Greely | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 4 | Flashburn | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
11 | 10 | Southern Light | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
9 | 8 | C F Johnathan | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 6 | Primeinterestrate | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
13 | 12 | Minister’s Medal | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
3 | 3 | Special Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Antietam Road | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Clever Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Heza Fortune | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
10 | 9 | R W ‘s Retirement | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.