Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 18, 2021

February 18, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 R and R Star 20.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Priority Points 10.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Charli Michael 15.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Peytonwegotdonuts 6.00 8 15-1
2 2 Beaux Victory 8.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Good Times Rollin 30.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Daves Friend Dewey 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Run Away Son 3.50 8.6 16-1
6 6 Father Goose 1.80 8.8 17-1
3 3 Grand Prado 6.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss Neko 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Old Fashion Amour 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 See Sassy Run 1.20 2.3 4-1
3 3 Run Now Estella 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Duepeg 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Molly Golightly 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dialed J 5.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Fillmypockets 12.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Emmas Ruler 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 C. F. Shelauh 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Takenforgranted 6.00 9 17-1
7 7 Anotherinthefire 2.50 9.1 17-1
1 1 A. P. Style 20.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Pump It 8.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Perfect Peach 4.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Back Inthat Action 8.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Velvet Night 15.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 Tensas Sunday 10.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zugersee 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Twilight Glow 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Skykat 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Madison’s Wild One 1.60 2.7 5-1
7 7 Caught His Eye 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Ebony Bay 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Perfect Justice 6.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Song Spectacular 20.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Akhnas 12.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Robber 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Valid Break 8.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Big Band’s Luck 6.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Louisiana Jazz 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Traelee 6.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 Dream Twister 2.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Lullaby Bandit 4.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Silky’s Dance 8.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silent Trick 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Love and Lemons 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Quick Rae Rae 20.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Becca’s Whisper 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Brew Casa 1.40 4.9 9-1
3 3 C C’s Baby Girl 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 L L L College Fund 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Palmettovowmenot 8.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Gemodixie 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fast Dude 1.80 1.5 3-1
8 8 Jack’s Kiss 20.00 2 4-1
2 2 Highly Centsable 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Tune My Guitar 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Saved At Sea 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Silent Force 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Zens Secret 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Waterwild 4.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 King of the Testo 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Gentrified 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Broadway Ice 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Zypto 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Tabia 1.80 5.1 10-1
2 2 Giant Mesa 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Lovethatcause 5.00 6 11-1
8 8 Sonoma Crush 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 G Cisive 20.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Pat Me Down 5.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 D’yeti Man 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Spread the Faith 10.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Kensley’s Hippie 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Trump Media 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Fazio 2.50 7.6 14-1
8 8 K D Street 4.50 8.4 16-1
6 6 Chasin Gracie 15.00 9 17-1
5 5 Wayfaring Stranger 15.00 9 17-1
7 7 King Cookie 4.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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