Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 18, 2021

February 18, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Yerosilverbiz 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Sinashack 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 Black ‘n Tan 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Awesome Yet Again 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Twisted Sunset 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Mr Ghost 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Prospect Mountain 0.80 1.9 4-1
6 6 Respect for All 2.50 2.6 5-1
3A 3 Bowing Snowman 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Rocco Strong 8.00 4.5 9-1
1A 1 Make It in Ny 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Centavo 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Swinging Sticks 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss Liana 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Movie Score 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Persian Queen 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Cover Photo 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Suz 8.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Lune Lake 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Zecha 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Loulovestheriver 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Patty O’Marc 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Reunion Tour 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Doublepour 1.60 2.7 5-1
5 5 Wicked Easy 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Go Cash Go 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Production Credit 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Portal Creek 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Gone Glimmering 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Letmetakethiscall 1.80 3.3 6-1
4 4 Prairie Fire 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Call On Mischief 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Timely Tradition 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Dovey Lovey 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dust Devil 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Perceived 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Advance Notice 2.50 2.3 4-1
8A 8 Tiergan 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Time to Testify 6.00 3.3 6-1
6A 6 Bad Guy 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Miami Mumbles 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Rhythm Section 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 This Ill Defend 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Family Biz 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Obsessed 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Malibu Star 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Doubly Blessed 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Daddy Knows 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 El Hermano 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Jerome Avenue 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Frosted Ice 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Lost in Rome 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Majestic Sky 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sophos 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Beatthatflew 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 In the Zone 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Boo Who 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Cape Cod Gem 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Litterbox 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Pollard’s Day 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Kiss’n Mission 15.00 6.1 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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