February 18, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yerosilverbiz | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sinashack | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black ‘n Tan | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Yet Again | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Sunset | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Ghost | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prospect Mountain | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Respect for All | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Bowing Snowman | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocco Strong | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Make It in Ny | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Centavo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swinging Sticks | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Liana | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Movie Score | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Persian Queen | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cover Photo | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suz | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lune Lake | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zecha | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Loulovestheriver | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patty O’Marc | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reunion Tour | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doublepour | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Easy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Cash Go | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Production Credit | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Portal Creek | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Glimmering | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letmetakethiscall | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prairie Fire | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call On Mischief | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timely Tradition | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dovey Lovey | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dust Devil | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perceived | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Advance Notice | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Tiergan | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time to Testify | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Bad Guy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miami Mumbles | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rhythm Section | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | This Ill Defend | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Family Biz | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Obsessed | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Star | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doubly Blessed | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Knows | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Hermano | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jerome Avenue | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Ice | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Rome | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Sky | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sophos | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beatthatflew | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In the Zone | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boo Who | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cape Cod Gem | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Litterbox | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pollard’s Day | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss’n Mission | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.