February 17, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fed Policy | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robin’s Destiny | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose of Dublin | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abaco Dream | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hola Princess | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Tag | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gingers Wish | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spun Run | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kirk’s Girl | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mutannaahy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lady Carmela | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Misbehaving Lady | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get Her Readyeddie | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blessed Mothermary | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cape Cod Sally | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chen’s Cleanshadow | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Seeker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Naughty Prince | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roan Mountain | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yondering | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sargeant Drive | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Coup | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bad Sueno | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mamaigotthis | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Danzig Partner | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Macho | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Jane’s Factor | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | City Guy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Green Growth | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Refi | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big City Ralph | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Richie Goes Global | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beachside | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Afleet Melody | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Officer Matute | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fear None | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Commissioner Dave | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Woodhaven Kid | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Warrant Officer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 4 | First Citizen | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Sir Back in Black | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mr. Roundtree | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Welling | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shooger Ray Too | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ronin Warrior | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baringer Spring | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Diggers Diamond | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Risque Rebel | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jayjaydee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | They Shot Sonny | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mach Trial | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bob’s My Uncle | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Asphalt Paving | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Five More Minutes | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Watch Your Words | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ninetyeightoctane | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Classical | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kristi’s Copilot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Audience of One | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cape May Style | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Earthquake | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Elvis | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boat Over the Hill | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Donnie Brasco | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King’s Gold | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surfer Boy George | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kion | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rage Away | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Grand Oasis | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Flat Out Flashy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 1 | Checkbouncin Billy | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Unbridledadventure | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tomarie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Janelle Dreams | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Baby Bam Bam | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gator Girl | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Its a Journey | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Penance | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11B | 11 | Lolanita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7B | 5 | Oceano Rosso | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | What About Tonight | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Knockout Kick | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mount Travers | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Urn | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Final Shot | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breezy Gust | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Tocsin | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Bull | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pnutbutter Special | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dig Charlie Dig | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ark in the Dark | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | La Waun | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Grit’n’grind | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Daddy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Screen Saver | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skipin On Orchard | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Black Light | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Vero Sun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greenback | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mr. Perez | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Field Officer | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Luck | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Del Po | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Catch My Vibe | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trusted Redemption | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Grandfire | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Epigrammatist | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Expensive | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wickedly True | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tony From Ocala | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.