Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 17, 2021

February 17, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fed Policy 1.60 3.2 6-1
1 1 Robin’s Destiny 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Rose of Dublin 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Abaco Dream 3.50 4 7-1
5 5 Hola Princess 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Beach Tag 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Lil Miss Hotshot 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Gingers Wish 6.00 4 8-1
7 6 Spun Run 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Kirk’s Girl 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 7 Mutannaahy 3.50 4.8 9-1
10 9 Lady Carmela 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Misbehaving Lady 5.00 6 11-1
1 1 Get Her Readyeddie 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Blessed Mothermary 15.00 6.6 12-1
11 10 Cape Cod Sally 15.00 7 13-1
9 8 Chen’s Cleanshadow 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Treasure Seeker 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Naughty Prince 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Roan Mountain 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 8 Yondering 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Sargeant Drive 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 5 Royal Coup 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Bad Sueno 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Mamaigotthis 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 My Danzig Partner 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Kid Macho 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jane’s Factor 5.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 City Guy 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Green Growth 3.50 4.1 8-1
11 11 Refi 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Big City Ralph 5.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Richie Goes Global 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Beachside 4.50 5.7 11-1
12 12 Afleet Melody 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Officer Matute 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Fear None 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Commissioner Dave 20.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Woodhaven Kid 20.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Warrant Officer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 4 First Citizen 3.50 1.2 2-1
4A 3 Sir Back in Black 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 1 Mr. Roundtree 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 8 Welling 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Shooger Ray Too 4.50 2.9 5-1
3 2 Ronin Warrior 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Baringer Spring 5.00 3.1 6-1
10 9 Diggers Diamond 8.00 5 9-1
8 7 Risque Rebel 15.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Jayjaydee 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 They Shot Sonny 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 2 Mach Trial 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 5 Bob’s My Uncle 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 6 Asphalt Paving 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Five More Minutes 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Watch Your Words 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 4 Ninetyeightoctane 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Mr Classical 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kristi’s Copilot 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9A 9 Audience of One 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Cape May Style 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Earthquake 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 My Man Elvis 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Boat Over the Hill 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Donnie Brasco 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 King’s Gold 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Surfer Boy George 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Kion 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Rage Away 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Grand Oasis 4.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 Flat Out Flashy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 1 Checkbouncin Billy 1.60 1.5 3-1
6 4 Unbridledadventure 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 3 Tomarie 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Janelle Dreams 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 6 Baby Bam Bam 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 7 Gator Girl 20.00 7.1 13-1
1A 1 Its a Journey 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Penance 3.50 SCRATCH
11B 11 Lolanita 20.00 SCRATCH
7B 5 Oceano Rosso 20.00 10.7 20-1
10 8 What About Tonight 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Knockout Kick 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Mount Travers 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Royal Urn 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Final Shot 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Breezy Gust 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 War Tocsin 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Dancing Bull 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Pnutbutter Special 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dig Charlie Dig 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Ark in the Dark 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 5 La Waun 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 7 Grit’n’grind 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Call Me Daddy 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Screen Saver 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Skipin On Orchard 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Black Light 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Vero Sun 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Greenback 3.00 3 6-1
11 9 Mr. Perez 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Field Officer 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Star Luck 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Del Po 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 8 Catch My Vibe 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Trusted Redemption 10.00 5.6 11-1
12 10 Grandfire 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 Epigrammatist 15.00 8 15-1
7 6 Expensive 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Wickedly True 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tony From Ocala 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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