Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 15, 2021

February 15, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Annangel (IRE) 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Gypsy Blu 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 An Eddie Surprise 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Lucky Peridot 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Dim Lights 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Sweet Rafaela 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Posh Holly (IRE) 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Mischiffie (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Va Va Vegas 1.20 1.6 3-1
3 3 Big Story 1.60 1.7 3-1
4 4 Gabby Hayes 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ferrariano 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Crash Corrigan 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Jeanne B 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Colombian Gold 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Star of Africa 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Lavender (IRE) 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Saburai 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Madame Bourbon 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Y Not Sizzle 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Wind Tartare (FR) 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Herd Immunity 1.80 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lovesick Blues 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 C’Mon Jenna 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Hot Box 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Wedding Groom 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Western Rule 4.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cargo 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Gerlach’s 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Like the Wind 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Judas 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Cibertruck 5.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Minehunter 3.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 Alexander’s Dream 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Whiskey Talk 15.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Catfish Charlie 15.00 8 15-1
11 11 Marksman On Target 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lil Ricardo 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Standing O 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Pedro Perez 30.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fenway 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hozier 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Chasing Fame 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Star Sailor 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Allaboutthemoney 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Exalted Joy 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Wishing Well S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Superstition 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Lighthouse 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Oleksandra (AUS) 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 4 Aqua Seaform Shame 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Guitty (FR) 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Constantia 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 So Much Happy 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Colosi 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Octopus 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Littlebitamedal 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Horse Greedy 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Conquest Cobra 2.50 4.5 9-1
10 10 Rinse and Repeat 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Awhitesportscoat 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Swamp Souffle 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Tobacco Road 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Afternoon Heat 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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