February 15, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Annangel (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Blu | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | An Eddie Surprise | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Peridot | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dim Lights | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Rafaela | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Va Va Vegas | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Story | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gabby Hayes | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ferrariano | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crash Corrigan | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jeanne B | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Colombian Gold | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star of Africa | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lavender (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saburai | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Bourbon | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Y Not Sizzle | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Herd Immunity | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lovesick Blues | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | C’Mon Jenna | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Box | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wedding Groom | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Western Rule | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cargo | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gerlach’s | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Like the Wind | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Judas | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cibertruck | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Minehunter | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alexander’s Dream | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Talk | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Catfish Charlie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Marksman On Target | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lil Ricardo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Standing O | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pedro Perez | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fenway | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hozier | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Fame | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Sailor | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Allaboutthemoney | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exalted Joy | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Wishing Well S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Superstition | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lighthouse | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oleksandra (AUS) | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitty (FR) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Constantia | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Much Happy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Colosi | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Octopus | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Littlebitamedal | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Horse Greedy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Cobra | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rinse and Repeat | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awhitesportscoat | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swamp Souffle | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tobacco Road | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Afternoon Heat | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.