Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 14, 2021

February 14, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Tacoflavoredkisses 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 2 Gates of Heaven 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Pappy Boyington 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Shimmer Me Timbers 5.00 3.8 7-1
9 7 Sensemaker 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Just a Command 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 8 Me Likey 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 4 Love My Jimmy 5.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Lovesick Blues 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Wedding Groom 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Happier 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 4 Pharoah’s Heart 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 1 Paid Informant 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Anna Fantastic 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Miss Fia 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Golden Star Lady 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Phantom Dance 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Cosmo 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Still in the Game 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Waraire 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 On Easy Street 3.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Absolute Unit 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Astronaut 3.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Capital Call 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Oculus 30.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Infatuate 50.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Purda Vita 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Royal Blend 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 5 Circle of Honor 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Consider Me Gone 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Kings Table 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Tribal Bid 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Faithmeister 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Sweet Meg 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Justin’s Quest 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Honos Man 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Mantra 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Liberal (IRE) 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Seeking Refuge 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Dr. Troutman 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sly 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 M Town Gem 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tromador 30.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Sky Confidential 30.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Girl Pearl 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Haru’s Star 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Ray Ray Is Gone 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Instastory 2.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Wicks and Chappies 1.20 4.7 9-1
5 5 Badger Gal 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Partyatthecapital 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sugar Moon 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sweet Life S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Going Global (IRE) 6.00 1.3 3-1
9 9 Majestic Steps (IRE) 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Royal Address (IRE) 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Go Greta (GB) 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Pizzazz 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Nimbostratus (FR) 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Squared Shady 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Magical Thought 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Freedom Flyer 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Five Pics Please 6.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Plum Sexy 10.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 I’m So Anna 50.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Uno Trouble Maker 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Jewel Thief 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Girona 4.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Dorita’s Lemon 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Sybil’s Kitty 5.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Zillinda 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Brilliant Bird 6.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Todos Santos 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Sherilinda 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Wandering Patrol 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Talker 3.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Blue Star 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Big Flint 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Warrens Candy Man 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 J C Express 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Circleofchampions 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Gordy’s Boy 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Big Frank Da Tank 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Mensa On Tap 30.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Bukayo 15.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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