February 14, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gates of Heaven | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pappy Boyington | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shimmer Me Timbers | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sensemaker | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Just a Command | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Me Likey | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Love My Jimmy | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovesick Blues | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wedding Groom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Happier | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pharoah’s Heart | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Paid Informant | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anna Fantastic | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Fia | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Star Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Phantom Dance | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cosmo | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Still in the Game | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waraire | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On Easy Street | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Absolute Unit | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astronaut | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capital Call | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oculus | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Infatuate | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Purda Vita | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Blend | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Circle of Honor | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Consider Me Gone | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kings Table | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tribal Bid | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faithmeister | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Meg | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Justin’s Quest | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honos Man | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mantra | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liberal (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seeking Refuge | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dr. Troutman | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sly | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | M Town Gem | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tromador | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Confidential | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Girl Pearl | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haru’s Star | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ray Ray Is Gone | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Instastory | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicks and Chappies | 1.20 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Badger Gal | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Partyatthecapital | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Moon | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sweet Life S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Going Global (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Address (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Greta (GB) | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pizzazz | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nimbostratus (FR) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Squared Shady | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Magical Thought | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Flyer | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Five Pics Please | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Plum Sexy | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | I’m So Anna | 50.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uno Trouble Maker | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jewel Thief | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girona | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dorita’s Lemon | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sybil’s Kitty | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zillinda | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brilliant Bird | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Todos Santos | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sherilinda | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wandering Patrol | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Talker | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Star | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Flint | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warrens Candy Man | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J C Express | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Circleofchampions | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gordy’s Boy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Frank Da Tank | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mensa On Tap | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bukayo | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.