Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 13, 2021

February 13, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Big Clare 2.50 1.9 4-1
10 9 Alot of Magic 4.00 3.1 6-1
13 12 Annie Graham 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Another Eddie 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Big Summer 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Warrior Lady 12.00 5.8 11-1
12 11 Sugar Kisses 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 4 Winter Star 15.00 6.7 13-1
11 10 Hematite 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Supersonic Flyer 12.00 8 15-1
4 3 Sunshine Babe 12.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Premiumonsaturday 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Belleo’s Music 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Galarina 50.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Curry 0.40 2.3 4-1
2 2 I Will Not 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Autumn Day 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Admirably 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Brace for Impact 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capper 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Mount Pelliar 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Labor Union 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Zoffa 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Compellus 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Willy the Cobbler 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 My Summer Dream 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Broken Finger 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Restoring Dreams 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Street Image 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Rickey B 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Contagion 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Black Storm 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 D K’s Crown 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Baby Gronk 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Royal Seeker 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ghoul (BRZ) 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 The Black Album (FR) 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Chaos Theory 1.80 3.1 6-1
3 3 Highly Distorted 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Mystery Messenger 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sparky Ville 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Lincoln City 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fratelli 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Italiano 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Howbeit 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Captain Scotty 2.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Oil Can Knight 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 See Through It 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Satchel de Ritches 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Single Me Out 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Promise Nothing 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Golden Image 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Burnin Turf 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tropical Terror 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Clayton Delaney 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 One Fast Bro 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Tizhotndusty 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Carmelita’s Man 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Kakistocracy 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Mr. Brownstone 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Hapi Hapi 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Monica S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Qahira 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Golden Principal 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Hard Not to Love 3.50 4.9 9-1
11 11 Biddy Duke 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Amuse 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Fair Maiden 4.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Secret Keeper 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Merneith 5.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Miss Stormy D 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Pharoah’s Heart 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bohemian Bourbon 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Proud Emma 15.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Taishan 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Goalie 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Scarto 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Award Winner 6.00 5 10-1
8 8 Indian Peak 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Restiany (GB) 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Encoder 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Heywoods Beach 6.00 7.1 14-1
3 3 Mind the Gap 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fivestar Lynch (IRE) 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 King Theo 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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