February 13, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Big Clare | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alot of Magic | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Annie Graham | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Another Eddie | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Summer | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Warrior Lady | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sugar Kisses | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Winter Star | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hematite | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Supersonic Flyer | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sunshine Babe | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Premiumonsaturday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Belleo’s Music | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Galarina | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Curry | 0.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Will Not | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn Day | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Admirably | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brace for Impact | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Capper | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mount Pelliar | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Labor Union | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zoffa | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Compellus | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willy the Cobbler | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Summer Dream | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Broken Finger | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Restoring Dreams | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Image | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rickey B | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Contagion | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Storm | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D K’s Crown | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Gronk | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Seeker | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Black Album (FR) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chaos Theory | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highly Distorted | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystery Messenger | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparky Ville | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lincoln City | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fratelli | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Italiano | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Howbeit | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captain Scotty | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oil Can Knight | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | See Through It | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Satchel de Ritches | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Single Me Out | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Promise Nothing | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Image | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Burnin Turf | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tropical Terror | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clayton Delaney | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Fast Bro | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizhotndusty | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carmelita’s Man | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kakistocracy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Brownstone | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hapi Hapi | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Monica S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Qahira | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Principal | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Not to Love | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Biddy Duke | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amuse | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fair Maiden | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Keeper | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Merneith | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Stormy D | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pharoah’s Heart | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bohemian Bourbon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Proud Emma | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Taishan | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goalie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scarto | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Award Winner | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indian Peak | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Restiany (GB) | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Encoder | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heywoods Beach | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mind the Gap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | King Theo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.