Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 13, 2021

February 13, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Onemoretimearound 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Pharoah’s Gold 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Pugin 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 My Maxamillion 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Fitz’s Mo 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Kicks On Sixty Six 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Bach 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Greenwood Drive 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Cuate 20.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Our Hoisted Mast 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ultimate Gift 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Mutaraafeq 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Macho Real 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 American Great 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Brett’s World 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Cracker Box Palace 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Two Princes 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Long Gray Line 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Powerful Ally 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Aycapote 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Mozo Bello 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Devoted Kitten 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Textpectation 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Starship Aramis 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spungie 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Red Light Racer 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Katama Moonlight 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Ocean Air 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Talking Book 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Coastana 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Saint Lucie (GB) 12.00 5 10-1
7 7 Honor Hop 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Peachy Queen 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Audrey 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Mavi 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Naval Wave 4.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Cave Creek 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Catirusia 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Facts Only 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Okalani 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Dance for the Sun 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Queen Ashy Baby 30.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Corinthia 30.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Gulfstream Park Turf Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Leinster 0.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Harry’s Ontheloose 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 High Crime 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Smart Remark 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Inter Miami 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Shared Legacy 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Borracho 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Golden Whim 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Tour of Duty 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Saratoga Flash 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Q F Seventy Five 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Neotropic 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 El Kabong 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Group Hug 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 10 Lord of War 15.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Boreas 20.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 Big Snitch 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Everesting 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Straight Up Guy 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shaftesbury 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Jerry’s Turn 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Black Magic Woman 3.00 2 4-1
4 3 Whispering Pines 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Funnybet 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Addilyn 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Don’t Get Khozy 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 6 Princess Betty 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 O’Malley 20.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Global Ambition 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Omnia 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Hoponthebusgus 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 6 Scatnap 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 7 Yako 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 9 Miss Jen 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 2 Jost Sayin 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 4 Towa 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 5 Aerodynamic 12.00 9.1 17-1
5 3 Generic Mark 12.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Yes Factor 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Chez Paree 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lavi 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Etana 10.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Fantastic Kingdom 20.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Structor 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 3 Grand Journey 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Penalty 3.50 2.9 6-1
7 6 Ever Dangerous 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Lamartine (BRZ) 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Flying Scotsman 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Just Whistle 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Clear Vision 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Argentello (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Gulfstream Park Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 2 Mischevious Alex 1.20 1.9 4-1
6 3 Wind of Change (BRZ) 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 4 Frosted Grace 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 1 Cajun Brother 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Edgemont Road 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shivaree 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Admiral Lynch 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Performing Arts 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Floriform 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Rosenquist 5.00 2.8 5-1
12 11 Bracken 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 El Socio 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 What Say Thee 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Holy Redeemer 10.00 5.6 11-1
11 10 Irishman 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Lupino (GB) 20.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Grey Streak 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Not Stormy 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Si Como No 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 First Task 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Core 30.00 10.5 20-1
5 4 Polsar 30.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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