February 12, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Cajun Treasure | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fly to Mars | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jasikan (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Southern King | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Prodigal Son | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Causeididitmyway | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Move Over (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rattrapante | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Miss Pie | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reem | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Angel of Freedom | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fierce for Sul | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bay Witch | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shell Shock | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Polished Lady | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Disko Fever | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mucha Woman | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Dana | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Yellow Dress | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Mama Sue | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risen Lady | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commas Save Lives | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Mistress | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exchange Vows | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wrecking Crew | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Theorem | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exaulted | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rayray | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Posterize | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Legend | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Boru | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Armour Plate | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Juggles | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Galloping Mischief | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hard Count | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big City Bane | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Western Smoke | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Show Business | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Surfside Sunset | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat White | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | No Parking Here | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Montana Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gov From Above | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Foothill | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiger’s Song | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Betito | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Victory | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stir the Pot | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crankin | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fun Coupons | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Clutch | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pobrecito | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | On Mars | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moonhall Milly (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapwater | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silberpfeil (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Our Charm | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Stormy D | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen of God | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Love and Peace (FR) | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Next Revolt | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seiche | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speakerofthehouse | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Behavior | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K P D Day | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Czechmight | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodega | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Meadway | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master Recovery | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.