February 12, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Biz | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Kong | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia Deputy | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | River Finn | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stash the Cash | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxy Ace | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spin Rate | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highlight Reel | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Soul Streit | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nifty | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impressed | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strike That | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Town Champ | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madison’s Luna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cash Light | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Rocket Girl | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart to Break | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Morning Valentine | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cyber Sneaker | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Rivers | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ima Sure Bet | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marquee Cowboy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudywithachance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Olmagirl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vasariano | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quarterback Dak | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turn the Switch | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jacks Fire Balls | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Rate | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Sense | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Draw the Line | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Stomping Hotrod | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | James’s Moonshine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | J’s Little Man | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Jerry | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Dixie | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Into Orbit | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ducktail | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Stan for Love | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dinner At Crumpies | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Traffic Control | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strategic Affair | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cinco Catalina | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Forsaken | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kat’s Hitman | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rare Form | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bitumen | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pat Daddy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rockshaw | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Belong to Becky | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gigging | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Basic Chance | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Adams | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secret Mistress | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildwood Flash | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Navy Lady | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | X Marks the Spot | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fortuna Adiuvat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diva Rosa | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Simona’s Choice | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tango Cinco | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Len’s Gold | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carrillo Street | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Smoking Bossa Nova | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mizzen Beau | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kim K | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Piece of My Heart | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghaaleb the Great | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamalildreamofu | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Beach Flower | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Goodbye Earl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bode’s Maker | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Or Frippery | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ucanthankmelater | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Darren’s Fortune | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ruler of the Nile | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Game | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dont Tell Noobody | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Again | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uphold | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gambler’s Fallacy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.