Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 12, 2021

February 12, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Biz 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Major Kong 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Georgia Deputy 3.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 River Finn 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Stash the Cash 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Foxy Ace 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Spin Rate 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Highlight Reel 15.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Soul Streit 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Nifty 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Impressed 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Strike That 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Town Champ 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Madison’s Luna 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cash Light 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Red Rocket Girl 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Heart to Break 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Morning Valentine 3.50 3.8 7-1
10 10 Cyber Sneaker 4.00 5 9-1
4 4 Five Rivers 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Ima Sure Bet 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Marquee Cowboy 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Cloudywithachance 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Olmagirl 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Vasariano 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Quarterback Dak 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Turn the Switch 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Jacks Fire Balls 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 First Rate 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Perfect Sense 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Draw the Line 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Handy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Stomping Hotrod 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 James’s Moonshine 5.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 J’s Little Man 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Broadway Jerry 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Twisted Dixie 3.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Into Orbit 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Ducktail 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 I Stan for Love 30.00 7.7 14-1
9 9 Dinner At Crumpies 8.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Traffic Control 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Strategic Affair 12.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 Cinco Catalina 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Forsaken 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kat’s Hitman 30.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rare Form 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Bitumen 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Pat Daddy 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Rockshaw 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 I Belong to Becky 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Gigging 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Basic Chance 4.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Coach Adams 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Harper 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Secret Mistress 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Wildwood Flash 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Navy Lady 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 X Marks the Spot 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Fortuna Adiuvat 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Diva Rosa 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Simona’s Choice 4.50 5 9-1
2 2 Tango Cinco 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Len’s Gold 30.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Carrillo Street 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Smoking Bossa Nova 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mizzen Beau 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Kim K 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Piece of My Heart 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Ghaaleb the Great 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Dreamalildreamofu 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Beach Flower 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Goodbye Earl 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bode’s Maker 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Frost Or Frippery 1.60 3.5 7-1
6 6 Ucanthankmelater 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Darren’s Fortune 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Ruler of the Nile 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Canadian Game 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Dont Tell Noobody 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Red Again 10.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Uphold 30.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Gambler’s Fallacy 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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