Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 12, 2021

February 12, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Keyed Up 10.00 0.7 1-1
1 1 Poets Princess 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Hello Gracie 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Golden Moon Shine 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Quickstrike 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Awfully Foxy 2.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 My Way Or Else 2.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Keepyourguardup 20.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Chico Con Alex 20.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Tiny Tin 15.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Strictly Business 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Pat’s Factor 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Goldie’s Boy 3.00 4 7-1
3 3 Laurel Lad 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Manklin Creek 1.80 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Had the Notion 6.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Stay Out 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Creative Alibi 15.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Catch the Sky 12.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Tequila Fog 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Promenade Princess 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Always Something 20.00 2 4-1
5 5 Utterly Enchanting 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Solea 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Falcon’s View 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paradise Song 1.80 1.3 2-1
1 1 Kewpie Doll 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Adelaide Miss 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Liv and Let Liv 15.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tayler’s Chrome 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Double Fireball 30.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Not On My Watch 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Nautical Nature 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Daystrike 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Smart Step 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 D C Fireman 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Wonder In 2.50 1.9 4-1
11 11 Big Hambone 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 Revolutionary Road 8.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Iwishiwaspecial 30.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Bano Solo 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Mystic Times 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 20.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Rip Rap Riley 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tough One 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Claire’s Darling 6.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Vanquisher 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Mosler’s Touch 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Indian Nichols 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 No Chance Given 3.50 1.8 3-1
9 9 Americas Woman 12.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Determined Honor 8.00 2.3 4-1
11 11 Thief of Dreams 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Meemoo 20.00 2.4 5-1
12 12 Sudsy 10.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Moriah 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eric’s Empire 15.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Silent Service 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Excellorator 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Golden Gulley 12.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 The Wolfman 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Sue Loves Barbados 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Doubleoseven 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 It’s Sizzling Time 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Absolved 6.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 The Revenger 15.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Prince James 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Silent Malice 8.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Gentleman Joe 1.60 1.7 3-1
9 9 Flat Out Flying 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Al Brown 30.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Sassy King 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Sea Ghost 20.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Crouchelli 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fine N Dandy 10.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Company Clown 3.00 1.9 3-1
13 13 Two Doors Down 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Exchange Fever 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Twinstinct 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Confusion Baby Boy 12.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Boss Life 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 El Rojo 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Kissedthegirls 12.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Charge Ahead 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 The Exception 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Stand My Ground 15.00 2.9 6-1
12 12 Little Bay 20.00 3.1 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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