Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 12, 2021

February 12, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Odramark 2.50 2.2 4-1
9 8 Ms Headley 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Henni Penny 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Akor 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Proper Manners 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Sammy’s Town 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Play That Tone 30.00 7 13-1
1 1 Silver Tunes 30.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Rain 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Luvnmesumcajun 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Chamberlain 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Blakenstein 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Debbie’s Road 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Realtor Danny D 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Comiskey Park 20.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Halo’s Dance 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Pachanga Patrol 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Skyfly 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 We Bless Luck 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Maureenlovesfrank 1.20 2.1 4-1
3 3 Manuela 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Starship Nana 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Broadway Diva 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Zamfir 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 No Commission 4.50 2 4-1
8 7 Speargun 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Spend Benjamins 5.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Exchange Day 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 This Dudes No Fool 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Crazy Shot 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Espia 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Cowtown 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Reliability 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Diligent 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Sambacer 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Lavery 15.00 5 9-1
6 5 Fly Fly Away 15.00 5 10-1
5 4 Emicrack (CHI) 30.00 6 11-1
3 3 Tomcat Black 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Palace Kitten 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Value Creation 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Secret Potion 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Ben Copenhagen 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Big City Dreams 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Summer Sermon 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Manitowish 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Successful One 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 5 Kiger 8.00 3.6 7-1
12 7 Whatmakessammyrun 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 2 Easy Time 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 1 Hyperfocus 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 4 Raison d’Air 15.00 6.4 12-1
11 6 Omaha City 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Notable Exception 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Safe Conduct 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Kitten’s Firstlove 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Advance Cash 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hot Blooded 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Top Gun Tommy 3.50 SCRATCH
8 3 Fuego Caliente 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dizzy 1.40 2.2 4-1
5 5 Nacho Mama 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Our Fantasy 1.80 2.9 6-1
1 1 Tiz Enough 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Blueyed Princess 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Nationalist 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Teheran (IRE) 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Sun Summers 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 My Gal Betty 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Choate Bridge 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Jezebel’s Kitten 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Mariafoot (FR) 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 In a Hurry 8.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Lucky Polly 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Tizahra 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Runway Dreamer 20.00 9 17-1
11 11 Golden Curl 20.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Oceans of Love 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Kissing Frogs 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Recoded 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Movie Moxy 1.20 SCRATCH
6 6 Ceci Valentina 30.00 13.1 25-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Flamingo Hawk 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Load Up Moe 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Romp 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Will Take Control 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Flex 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Curve 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Weight of Glory 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Carrots Or Carats 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Wild Texas Tom 30.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Password Protected 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 On the Engine 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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