February 12, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Odramark | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ms Headley | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Henni Penny | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Akor | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proper Manners | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sammy’s Town | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play That Tone | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Tunes | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rain | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Luvnmesumcajun | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chamberlain | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blakenstein | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Debbie’s Road | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Realtor Danny D | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Comiskey Park | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halo’s Dance | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pachanga Patrol | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Skyfly | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Bless Luck | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maureenlovesfrank | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manuela | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Nana | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broadway Diva | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Zamfir | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | No Commission | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Speargun | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spend Benjamins | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Exchange Day | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | This Dudes No Fool | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Shot | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Espia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Cowtown | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reliability | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diligent | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sambacer | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lavery | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fly Fly Away | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Emicrack (CHI) | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tomcat Black | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Palace Kitten | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Value Creation | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Secret Potion | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ben Copenhagen | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big City Dreams | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Summer Sermon | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Manitowish | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Successful One | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | Kiger | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Whatmakessammyrun | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Easy Time | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Hyperfocus | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Raison d’Air | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Omaha City | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notable Exception | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Safe Conduct | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Firstlove | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Advance Cash | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hot Blooded | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Top Gun Tommy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 3 | Fuego Caliente | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dizzy | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nacho Mama | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Fantasy | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Enough | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blueyed Princess | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nationalist | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Teheran (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sun Summers | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Gal Betty | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Choate Bridge | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jezebel’s Kitten | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mariafoot (FR) | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In a Hurry | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Polly | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tizahra | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runway Dreamer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Curl | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Oceans of Love | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Kissing Frogs | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Recoded | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Movie Moxy | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ceci Valentina | 30.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flamingo Hawk | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Load Up Moe | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Romp | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Will Take Control | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flex | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Curve | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weight of Glory | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Carrots Or Carats | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Texas Tom | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Password Protected | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | On the Engine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.