Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 11, 2021

February 11, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Frenchie Frou Frou 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 1 Souper Capacity 2.50 3.1 6-1
1A 7 Slewachit 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 She’s an Angel 15.00 5 9-1
6 5 Wicked Chocolate 4.50 5.1 10-1
7 6 Dede’s Trick 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 B Rewarding 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 4 Cinco West 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scarlet Position 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Just Fly 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Raintree Starlet 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Madison Way 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Texas Music 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Final Form 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 J P’s Gladys 12.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Benson 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 7 Bossy Moment 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 It’sfiftyshadetime 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Melting Snow 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Clear Steps 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 She’s My Ride 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Avabell 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Some Would Say 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hanks 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 3 Megatap 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 4 Street Toll 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 6 Bode’s Light 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 2 No Classiva 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 5 Biker Tim 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Top Star 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cold as Hell 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Witch Doctor 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Singandcryindubai 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Kristo 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Strate Remark 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 All Shacked Up 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Giant Influence 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Chicory Blue 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Roar of the Lion 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Always a Catch 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Couverture 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Lori’s Eyes 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Spilled Perfume 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Angel Arkie 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Richness 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Cyber Affair 6.00 5.7 11-1
11 10 Wish for Candy 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Starrgarita 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Caddo Queen 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Tyne After Tyne 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Amelia’s Bonnet 30.00 9 17-1
12 11 Allofourdreams 30.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Denali Rocket 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Showit 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Nautical Gem 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Triple Scout 5.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Could You 2.50 4 8-1
4 3 Fleeta Belle 4.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Brechin’s Command 12.00 5 9-1
5 4 Hush Y’all 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Mia Promessa 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Entrusted 8.00 7 13-1
11 11 Sweet Tatum 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Sheshed 20.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 War Ballad 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Palio Flag 2.50 3 6-1
7 5 O Seraphina 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 1 Villanelle 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Fire Coral 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Sara Sea 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 W W Fitzy 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Queen Bridget 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ghaaleb the Great 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hello Darling 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Twilight Blue 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Scarred 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Woodhouse 8.00 3.4 7-1
8 7 Inspector Frost 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 4 Riptide Rock 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Leblon 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Cousin Larry 8.00 5.2 10-1
11 9 Gagoots 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Oncoming Train 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Bravo Bravo 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lizard King 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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