Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 11, 2021

February 11, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Treasured Nikky 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Exact 1.40 2.6 5-1
9 8 Bahamian Rhapsody 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Shouldaknownbetter 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Trouble Making 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Elusive Eyes 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Lady Tapatia 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Sip’n Dip 30.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Pretzel 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Auburn 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Alley to Calvary 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Obstinate 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Lady Fiorella 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Create a Story 4.50 5 10-1
7 6 Queen Abarrio 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 La Gata Negra 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Dinner At Five 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Callmesenorita 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Captured Light 30.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Nationalist 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Twilight Galaxy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Free to Fly 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Bimini 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 6 Baccarat Fashion 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Sammie Sunshine 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Dana Grace 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Witch Hunter 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Hartling 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Hoity Toity 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Livin At the Beach 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Addi 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Philly Special 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Remarkable Silver 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Signing Bonus 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Kamala 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Jeanie Vee 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 St. Louie Arch 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Seven Gems 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Apache Brave 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Kantharos’ Image 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Black Jet 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 What’s Inside 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Malraux 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Gran Malbec 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Reagan’s Heart 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Vincent William 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First Investor 1.40 2.1 4-1
4 4 Stripping 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Erv’s Wench 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 My Destiny 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bargainaire 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Forever Marta 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Por Que No 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Glitter Bay 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Coffee Buzz Buzz 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Serenade a Kitten 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Cheerleader Barb 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Pretty Rachel 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Khozzy Valintine 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Appointed 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Romantical Note 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lauda Speed 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Worlds On High 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Paladio 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mahomes Money 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 The Ice Beast 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Friar Tuck 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Beaster 8.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Pillar Mountain (IRE) 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Shamrocket 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Focus Group 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Prefect 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Scanno 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Bray 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Dover Cliffs 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Churn N Burn 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Small Hope 15.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 King of Spades 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Fortuity 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Breaking Alone 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Lease 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Superposition 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Maclyrical 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Cheval Dore 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Under Fire 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Aesthetically 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Andres Eduardo 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Navajo Creed 20.00 8.7 16-1
11 10 Golden Fiddle 20.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Pacific Legend 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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