February 11, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Wind | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gottatakehimto | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sound of the Sea | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Pulpit | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashlightsecurity | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Optimistic | 3.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gotta A. P. B. | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zarazi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Call | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Zyzack | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Carlos | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gaspergou | 1.80 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Scarlettsblackjack | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drewzano | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leo Del Reo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Production | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Half Again | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coco Tiger | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wild Bert | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Want a Picture | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunnyonastormyday | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alhambra Palace | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Omahasetgeaux | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abigail’s Beauty | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fasthappy | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grayfully | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inawic | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Mucho Marvin | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unwanted Intruder | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Book | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Halostar | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Bayou | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cafe Du Monde | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Prince | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Baudette Blizzard | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Ty Fu Peg | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Iron Alloy | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grover Capote | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Tuff to Cry | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kip Royale | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minister Mickey | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nate’s Fury | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bald Face Logic | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zippit Zippy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grip Tight | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockthepulpit | 1.80 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oneholylion | 15.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stick | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theboyzdelight | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Warned | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Elite Runner | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Wings | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Allthewaywithtaye | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Devils Halo | 1.80 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beta Capo Song | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Carson City Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sy Michael | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R T’s Dude | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Redemption | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zesty Guitar | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Touchdown Joe | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Ziggy | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Perfecta | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Floor General | 2.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vivinsky | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bluewater Cat | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smarty Grimes | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Love | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Palmy Sundae | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dubnation | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mogowan | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Extra Dough | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Smack | 1.40 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D’rock | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Waterwild | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zens Secret | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smokin Hot Momma | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Edge | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Four Princesses | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Darpa | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oretta | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Mimi’s Song | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Golden Smiles | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Smart | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shi O’Shi | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Belmar Beauty | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.