Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 11, 2021

February 11, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thirsty Wind 10.00 2 4-1
9 9 Gottatakehimto 6.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Sound of the Sea 20.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Unbridled Pulpit 10.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Flashlightsecurity 12.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Optimistic 3.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Gotta A. P. B. 12.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Zarazi 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Call 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Zyzack 15.00 10 19-1
2 2 Prince Carlos 12.00 10.4 20-1
8 8 Gaspergou 1.80 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 Scarlettsblackjack 1.60 2.4 5-1
2 2 Drewzano 15.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Leo Del Reo 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Mr. Production 1.60 4.1 8-1
6 5 Half Again 4.50 6.3 12-1
5 4 Coco Tiger 3.50 7.1 13-1
8 7 Wild Bert 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 6 I Want a Picture 6.00 8 15-1
3 3 Sunnyonastormyday 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alhambra Palace 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Omahasetgeaux 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Abigail’s Beauty 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Fasthappy 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Grayfully 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Inawic 1.40 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Mucho Marvin 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Unwanted Intruder 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 My Book 12.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Halostar 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Midnight Bayou 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cafe Du Monde 4.50 6 11-1
7 6 Our Prince 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 Baudette Blizzard 2.00 7 13-1
3 3 My Ty Fu Peg 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Iron Alloy 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Grover Capote 4.50 7.2 14-1
6 6 Too Tuff to Cry 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Kip Royale 30.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Minister Mickey 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Nate’s Fury 3.50 7.7 15-1
4 4 Bald Face Logic 30.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Zippit Zippy 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Grip Tight 6.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Rockthepulpit 1.80 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Oneholylion 15.00 0.9 2-1
6 6 Stick 20.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Theboyzdelight 4.50 2.6 5-1
1A 7 Warned 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 2 Elite Runner 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Blue Wings 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 8 Allthewaywithtaye 3.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Devils Halo 1.80 7.7 14-1
9 9 Beta Capo Song 6.00 7.7 15-1
8 9 Carson City Cat 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sy Michael 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 R T’s Dude 20.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Proud Redemption 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Zesty Guitar 10.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Touchdown Joe 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Captain Ziggy 3.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Prince Perfecta 6.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Floor General 2.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vivinsky 30.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Bluewater Cat 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Smarty Grimes 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Flat Out Love 8.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Palmy Sundae 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Dubnation 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Mogowan 5.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Extra Dough 6.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Sir Smack 1.40 9.5 18-1
7 7 D’rock 12.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Waterwild 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Zens Secret 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Smokin Hot Momma 1.80 1.6 3-1
9 9 Majestic Edge 15.00 2 4-1
3 2 Four Princesses 15.00 3.7 7-1
1A 10 Darpa 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Oretta 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 3 Mimi’s Song 3.50 5.6 11-1
2 1 Golden Smiles 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Wicked Smart 4.50 7.1 13-1
5 5 Shi O’Shi 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Belmar Beauty 8.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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