February 7, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Raneem | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jan Jan Can | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pasito | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jumping Jill Flash | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Eclipse | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Realrealgood | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Velvet | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Xmas Surprise | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Macarena | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bleu Ballon | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Damn the Torpedoes | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shvere Arbeter | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | K P Kan Do | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Hannah | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Arendell | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bowl of Cherries | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jaxons Tour Guide | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Impression | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flip the Coin Jan | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shane Zain | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honoring Major | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Classic | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bitter Ring Home | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | All Quality | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lucy (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sapphire Kid | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Over Attracted | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Gray | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greg’s Diva | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Impossible | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bezos | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dream Shake | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chaos Reigns | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tivoli Twirl | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Law Professor | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harbored Memories | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lone Scout | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deservedly | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bye Bye Nicky | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A G Indy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Prance | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Acai | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Translate | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bruja Escarlata | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lucky Long Legs | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buy Wave Buy | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m the Hero | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Star Kissed | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Edgeway | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Response | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bigly | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hotitude | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acting Out | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shady Empire | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Master Ryan | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eustace | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Colt Fiction | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Prez | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hammering Lemon | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brix | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zipper Mischief | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Seam | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Cat | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Single Me Out | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.