Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 7, 2021

February 7, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 First String 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Samurai Saint 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Hooked a Goodwin 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Reinsure 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Beau Book 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Faction 30.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Conquistador Show 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 You Split Tens 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Lookin for Eight 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Carte Blanche 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Meistermind 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Wagon Boss 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Kurilov (CHI) 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Determinant 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Bobby Baby 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Best You Ever Seen 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Ravens Reflection 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Road Game 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Recount 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Deacon 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Unscathed 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Sharp Art 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 El Venue 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 West Side Girl 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Solemn Oath 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 3 As Required 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Making Progress 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Duchess Bubbles 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Freedom Bound 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Queens Gift 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Summer Love 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 Santa Ana Winds 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 5 Charmed One 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Forevernoa 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 1 Subiaco 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 4 Fancified 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Southern Cents 30.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 First Empress 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Indawin 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hansens Mischief 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Trashtalkinyankee 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Katzarelli 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Earner 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Buttered Noodles 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Oro de Tejano 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Pintxos 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Deflater 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Ship It Red 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Established 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Mighty Mischief 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Another Hero 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 6 Aloha West 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Super Constitution 3.00 4 7-1
3 2 Quality Warrior 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 League of Legends 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hop Kat 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 M G Warrior 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Combatant 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Man in the Can 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Treasure Trove 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Defender 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Fast Breakin Cash 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Life of Saturdays 5.00 2.3 4-1
12 11 Olivian 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mo Dreamin 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Wicked Street 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 My Dams Atitude 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Lovely Lou 5.00 5 9-1
3 3 Run Fearless 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Marciamarciamarcia 15.00 8.7 16-1
14 12 Flat Out Gold 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Dolly Dimple 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Do Me a Favor 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Stormy Sunrise 30.00 10.2 19-1
7 7 Sailaway and Hide 30.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Alittlebitofsmarty 30.00 11.4 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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