February 7, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First String | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samurai Saint | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hooked a Goodwin | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reinsure | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beau Book | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faction | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conquistador Show | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | You Split Tens | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin for Eight | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carte Blanche | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meistermind | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wagon Boss | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kurilov (CHI) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Determinant | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobby Baby | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Best You Ever Seen | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ravens Reflection | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Road Game | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Recount | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Deacon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unscathed | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Art | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Venue | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | West Side Girl | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Solemn Oath | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | As Required | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Making Progress | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duchess Bubbles | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freedom Bound | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queens Gift | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Summer Love | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Santa Ana Winds | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Charmed One | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forevernoa | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Subiaco | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fancified | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Southern Cents | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Empress | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Indawin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hansens Mischief | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trashtalkinyankee | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Katzarelli | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Earner | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buttered Noodles | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oro de Tejano | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pintxos | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deflater | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ship It Red | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Established | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Mischief | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Another Hero | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aloha West | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Super Constitution | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quality Warrior | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | League of Legends | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hop Kat | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | M G Warrior | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Combatant | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man in the Can | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treasure Trove | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Defender | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Breakin Cash | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Life of Saturdays | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Olivian | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Dreamin | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Street | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Dams Atitude | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lovely Lou | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Fearless | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marciamarciamarcia | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Flat Out Gold | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dolly Dimple | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Do Me a Favor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Sunrise | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sailaway and Hide | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.