Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 7, 2021

February 7, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Copper Fiddle 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Comedian 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Power Player 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Kinetic Swagger 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Jurisdiction 5.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Dreammaster 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Mom Said Yes 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Ekaterinoslav 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Holy Spirit 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tuffology 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Goodnight Gracie 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Rhett’s Racer 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Custom Cut 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 That’s a Song 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Blondie Lox Babe 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Lagniappe 5.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jim’s Bronze Star 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Ghosting Kim 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Caroline’s Story 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dynamite Gift 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Pink Posse 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Run Cookie Run 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Maid of Honor 12.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Caymans Cobra 3.00 2 4-1
5 4 Park Ridge Benny 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Flash Attack 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Catalogue 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Nice Work 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Over Funded 20.00 5 10-1
4 4 Hook 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Apple Dapple 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Strollin the Bayou 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 North of Eden 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Cubs Win 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 7 Over the Blues 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Herbs Love 6.00 5 9-1
8 6 Hero of Gold 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sensible Myth 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Podcast 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Perfecture 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Ima Sunny Song 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Guilty Lover 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Grey Sloan 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Kansas King 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Dark Matter 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Muletrain 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Mista Valentine 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Justin’smemories 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ms Satch Mo 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hot as Blue Blazes 3.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Rumpus 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Taptime 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Danger Zone 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Gastown 5.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Andrea’s Angel 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Flatteringapplause 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Bella’s Choice 15.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Miss Unionist 20.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Outkickthecoverage 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Honorary Guest 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Watrugonnadokaren 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Susan Strong 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Circleofsoul 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Masked Mandate 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Our Bermuda 1.80 1.7 3-1
6 6 Hashtag Speed 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Gem of Carlos 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Silent Cry 4.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 Son of Patriot 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 My Guitar 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Jennovodka 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 I Don’t Fly Coach 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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