February 7, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Copper Fiddle | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Comedian | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Power Player | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kinetic Swagger | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jurisdiction | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreammaster | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mom Said Yes | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ekaterinoslav | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Spirit | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tuffology | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodnight Gracie | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rhett’s Racer | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Cut | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | That’s a Song | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blondie Lox Babe | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lagniappe | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jim’s Bronze Star | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghosting Kim | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caroline’s Story | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamite Gift | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Posse | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run Cookie Run | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maid of Honor | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Caymans Cobra | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Park Ridge Benny | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flash Attack | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catalogue | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nice Work | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over Funded | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hook | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Apple Dapple | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strollin the Bayou | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | North of Eden | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cubs Win | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Over the Blues | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Herbs Love | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hero of Gold | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sensible Myth | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Podcast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perfecture | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Sunny Song | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guilty Lover | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grey Sloan | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kansas King | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Matter | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muletrain | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mista Valentine | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justin’smemories | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ms Satch Mo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot as Blue Blazes | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rumpus | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taptime | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danger Zone | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gastown | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Andrea’s Angel | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flatteringapplause | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella’s Choice | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Unionist | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Outkickthecoverage | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Honorary Guest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Watrugonnadokaren | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Susan Strong | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Circleofsoul | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Masked Mandate | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Our Bermuda | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag Speed | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gem of Carlos | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Cry | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Son of Patriot | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Guitar | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jennovodka | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.