Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 6, 2021

February 6, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Clever Fellow 1.20 1.3 2-1
1 1 Neuro 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Jade’s Dream 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Devil’s Code 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Shinjuku 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Me ‘n Sap 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Number One Dillon 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Cohiba Ghost 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Victory Built 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Bronxville 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Blues City 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Implied Volatility 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 David’s Gem 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Have a Heart 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Needacarcalllouie 2.50 1.1 2-1
3B 3 Absolute Privilege 3.50 2.3 4-1
6A 6 Streetcar Jones 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Magnificent Mags 3.00 2.5 5-1
8B 8 Tourist Attraction 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Stepitupstephanie 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Jordy Can Tap 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Cashmere Queen 8.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Stoneharbor Blonde 8.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sneakiness 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Vici 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Reed Kan 1.80 2.3 4-1
6 6 Happy Farm 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Popizar 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bodeflex 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Promo Code 30.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Bulwark 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 3 Principal Dancer 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Beta 6.00 3 6-1
6 5 Macho Boy 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 No More Miracles 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Him She Kisses 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Posse Can Disco 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 4 Trappeze Artist 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Got the Gold 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mr Fantasy 5.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Kikkerland 4.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Devious Mo 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 What’s My Category 2.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Solar Zen 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Echoes of Destiny 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Production Credit 30.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Son of an Ex 50.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ellarella 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Mabel Island 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Fair Lassie 3.50 2.6 5-1
7A 7 Dublinornothin 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ifihadachance 5.00 3.4 6-1
5A 5 Pendolino 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Steal My Heart 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Cheatham Hill 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Withers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Risk Taking 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Donegal Bay 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Capo Kane 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Overtook 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Royal Number 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Shackqueenking 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Eagle Orb 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mr. Doda 30.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Civil War 50.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Autostrade 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Earned Success 1.20 2.9 5-1
5 5 Abbaa 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 O Shea Can U See 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Swiping Dan 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Win With Pride 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Baduke 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Calculated Thinkin 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Coltandmississippi 50.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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