Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 5, 2021

February 5, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Coulthard (IRE) 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Eagle Chief 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Kahuna Magic 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 No Foolery Here 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Hudson Ridge 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 First Class Dad 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Mahaamel (IRE) 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Got Curly 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Donna Bella 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Lady Mystify 2.50 2 4-1
2 1 American Heights 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Quick and Dirty 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Frosteria 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Soulong 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Special Mission 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Whiskey Vision 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Daniel’s Magic 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Cross Indian 3.50 6.9 13-1
11 10 Sensemaker 10.00 7.1 13-1
9 8 Mongolian Ford 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Imissbaymeadows 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 7 Pro Bono 10.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Amanofmystature 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 My Summer Dream 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lance the Legend 3.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Racing Ace 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Oliver 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Desmond Doss 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Signofthecross 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Lightning Fast 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Popular Kid 4.50 4 7-1
4 3 Bam Bam Again 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Coalinga Road 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Witch Moon 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Sweet Devil 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Eyes Open 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Lady Timmy Ho (IRE) 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Wind and Hope 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lady Crocker 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Phoenix Tears 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 I’ll Do It for You 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Multiplier 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 2 Two Thirty Five 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Self Taught 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 4 Itsthattime 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 King Abner 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bold Endeavor 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pubilius Syrus 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Baffle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Earls Rock (IRE) 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Sword Zorro (IRE) 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Beer Can Man 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Commander Khai 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mac Daddy Too 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Gator Shining 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Exhalting 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Weston 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Harlan Estate 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moreavino 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 A J Rock 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 My Girl Pearl 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Mojo Mama 30.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Haute Time 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Spoken With a Kiss 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Shez Our Arch 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Wild Arch 4.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Turkish Angel 50.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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