Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 5, 2021

February 5, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Boy Gus 1.60 1.6 3-1
4 4 Frosted Prayer 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Outlier 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Citi Charm 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Sidetown 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Copley 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Miss Checkmark 3.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Gold N Sexy 4.50 5.4 10-1
10 9 Fancy Blaze 6.00 7 13-1
7 7 Hamazing Lace 8.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Lady Astrid 5.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Frankies Moonshine 8.00 7.6 14-1
9 8 Backgate Belle 8.00 7.6 14-1
11 10 Little Burrito 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Thursday Morning 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Hightail Runaway 20.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Twofoursixbitdolar 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Spot’s Maine Girl 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Couverture 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tuesday 20.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ambitiously Placed 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 4 Miss Alpha Bella 2.50 2.8 5-1
1A 6 Quiet Surprise 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 7 Omi Ten 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Lyricist 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Jewel Azul 4.50 4 8-1
4 3 Little Girls Rule 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 8 Ella’s My Girl 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Pepper Pike 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 8 Urbanite 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Have a Plan 8.00 3.6 7-1
11 10 Marquee Thunder 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Gemo Rain 6.00 4.2 8-1
12 11 Polar Wind 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Off the Meds 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Not Very Gentle 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 7 Revenio 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Down Home Kitten 20.00 8.3 16-1
10 9 Grand Atlantic 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Roar of the Lion 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wild Union 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Box of Chocolates 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 All Eyes West 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 War Detonator 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 No Shirt No Shoes 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Hard to Park 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mega Charlie 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Pizza Charlie 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Roman Pharoah 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Appraisal 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Skywave 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Devil’s Tower 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Stud Puppy 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Kissofftheglass 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Firecracker Stand 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Captain Don 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Tempt Fate 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Aspen Club 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Bebop Shoes 2.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Ten Buds 10.00 5.7 11-1
13 12 Sir Brahms 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Boo Be Right 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 10 Sunday Sermon 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Young Bull 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Dark Ninja 20.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Mrs. Beans 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lang’s Fir Doll 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wasabi Moon 30.00 11.4 22-1
12 11 Smellin Candy 30.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ocean Breeze 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Crown Jewel 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Undine 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Sugar Love 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Misty Blue 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Blinkers 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Flashy Biz 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Reelfoot 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Euroexit 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Dens D Oro 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Perfect Mistake 4.50 5 9-1
3 3 Chitto 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Time Heist 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Critic 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Church of Many 12.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Tough Company 20.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Boo Reid 20.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Wings Up 30.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Sycamore Run 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Tapalist 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 It’s Bellamy Time 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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