February 5, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Boy Gus | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Prayer | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outlier | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Citi Charm | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sidetown | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copley | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Miss Checkmark | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold N Sexy | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fancy Blaze | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hamazing Lace | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Astrid | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frankies Moonshine | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Backgate Belle | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Little Burrito | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thursday Morning | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hightail Runaway | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twofoursixbitdolar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Spot’s Maine Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Couverture | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tuesday | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ambitiously Placed | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Miss Alpha Bella | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Quiet Surprise | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Omi Ten | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lyricist | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Jewel Azul | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Little Girls Rule | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Ella’s My Girl | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Pepper Pike | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Urbanite | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Have a Plan | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Marquee Thunder | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gemo Rain | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Polar Wind | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Off the Meds | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not Very Gentle | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Revenio | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Down Home Kitten | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grand Atlantic | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roar of the Lion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wild Union | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Box of Chocolates | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Eyes West | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Detonator | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Shirt No Shoes | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Park | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mega Charlie | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pizza Charlie | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Pharoah | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Appraisal | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skywave | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Tower | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stud Puppy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kissofftheglass | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firecracker Stand | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Captain Don | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tempt Fate | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aspen Club | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bebop Shoes | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Buds | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Sir Brahms | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boo Be Right | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sunday Sermon | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Young Bull | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Ninja | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mrs. Beans | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lang’s Fir Doll | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wasabi Moon | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Smellin Candy | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Breeze | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crown Jewel | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undine | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Love | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misty Blue | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blinkers | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Biz | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reelfoot | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Euroexit | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dens D Oro | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Mistake | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chitto | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time Heist | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Critic | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Church of Many | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tough Company | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boo Reid | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wings Up | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sycamore Run | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tapalist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | It’s Bellamy Time | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.