Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 5, 2021

February 5, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Do I Ever 30.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Broadway Trouper 20.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Temisina 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Grand Entrada 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Moonlight Miss 2.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Walk It Out Nanny 1.60 5.6 11-1
5 5 Top Hat Boss 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Irishtown 20.00 0.9 2-1
1 1 Shotmaster 20.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Indian Ghost 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Empty Nestr 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Brutus 1.40 5.4 10-1
3 3 Dashing Lou 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Point Driven 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Tonka Flower 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bear Force Won 5.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Sugar Daddy 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Tastes Like Plaid 12.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Dr. Rusty Raymond 15.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Tip for Tap 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stretch the Truth 1.60 1.2 2-1
6 6 What the Flash 5.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Zip the Lip 12.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Little Bold Bandit 8.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Chico Con Alex 30.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Fomo 15.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Zaga 12.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Portal One 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Parched Ghost 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Splendor Gal 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Super Donna G 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Calypso Ghost 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Instinctive 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Drive In 20.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Nellysford 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ciao Luna 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Threaten 10.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Mineshaft Magic 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Writtenbythestars 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tatica 15.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Lady Tizmo 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Baby Melissa 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Love Is Strong 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Hot Dame 10.00 2.4 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Conjecture 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Larimar 10.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Grace Isabella 15.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Foggy Dreams 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Paisley Singing 3.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Magical Anna 6.00 4.4 8-1
2A 2 Le Weekend 6.00 4.6 9-1
4A 4 Hidenseek Sally 6.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Vics Cool Cat 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Maximus Midani 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Toy 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Mine Not Mine 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Girls Love Me 1.80 1.4 3-1
7 7 Tommy Shelby 15.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 The Poser 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Benandjoe 6.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Meo Desperado 12.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Extra Medium 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Pascal Chant 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Tappahannock 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Gator Fifty Two 20.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Korczak 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Maru’s Raven 10.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Outside the Box 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Holy Saint 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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