February 4, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Glitter Time | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | G’s a Looker | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grace’s Gal | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | G’s Mine | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ma Cher Amio | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wild Charlie | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Laurel’s Cricket | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Medieval Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bad Boy | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin High | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hamazing Wisdom | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jackfruit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papaws Boy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oso Negro | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden V C | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Verrazanointhesky | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Somekindawicked | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Pepper Ann | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | See What’s What | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C’Estbon C’Estbon | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G’s Deadline | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Ashley B. | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kehron’s Creed | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Toodaloo to You | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Bandit | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | S Man | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Man On the Moon | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokey Harbor | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ames Mister | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Walsh | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not a Nyki | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Time Gem | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Williams Shine | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Alpha | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Carson’s Princess | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mon Cherie | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Queen | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Double Dare You | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empressive Tap | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Time for a Song | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J Z’s First | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smackfire | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Business Lady | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Little Anita | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Cane Creek Road | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tour the World | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Soul Coaxing | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect One | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shoulda Had It | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Clearly Mad | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harrison’s Rose | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ramirin | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oxbow Wind | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Speed Racer Go | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mount Athos | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copa | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Time Player | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Molto Vivace | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Find New Roads | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donzi | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Plank | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Jungle Cat | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Transient (GB) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Postnup | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Waywardness | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kattegat | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suki | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Solar Reflection | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Spare Cash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bella Conchita | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dottie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Empress Catherine | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Soul Song | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisianalightning | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Saintsgotrobbed | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Guitar Slim | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Alma Derby | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Tensas Toddy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Intuition | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lenape Drive | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Commander Scott | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.