Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, February 2, 2021

February 2, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Bodemeister Wind 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 2 Out Making Treble 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 Waypoint 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Honorarian 1.60 6 11-1
1 1 R and R Star 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Wheels Turning 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Okudah 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Real Brave 12.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 High Ridge 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Shae’s Day 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Saber Run 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Titanium Pledge 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Andiamo Giacomo 2.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Mr True 6.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Now You Rules 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Thimble 8.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Hot Le Roy 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 6 Little Can 12.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Citation Bill 20.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Toe Bandit 15.00 1.8 3-1
7 5 Red Mamba 4.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 Coast Guardsman 1.60 SCRATCH
6 6 Oscar Choice 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Friendofthecourt 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Dude 10.00 0.9 2-1
5 3 Charming Bullet 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 2 Mayan Ghost 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 5 Hezanothercorredor 20.00 4 8-1
6 4 Paint I Ain’t 1.60 4.9 9-1
8 6 Flamin Fire 3.50 6.2 12-1
2 2 Favorite Son 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Data Central 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mucho Marvin 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 6 Cryptozonic 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Kensley’s Hippie 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Combat Command 20.00 5 10-1
7 7 Pat Me Down 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Victory Trip 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Picacho Peak 3.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Ipidate 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Chasin Gracie 6.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Grace of David 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Costa Sugar 15.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Miss Katniss 20.00 2 4-1
1 1 Realmente Calmada 3.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Zao’s Dreams 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Royal Alexandra 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Temple Shadow 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Despina 4.50 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jus My Imagination 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Knight’s Honor 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Twin Sisters 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Anothersunnyday 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Reason Why 1.80 5.1 10-1
4 4 Some Would Say 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Infinite Purgatory 5.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Muscadine 10.00 1.4 3-1
10 9 Top Draw 15.00 2 4-1
5 4 Paddock Pick 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Lighthawk 2.50 2.9 5-1
9 8 Charlies Ticket 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Big Boy Dave Rex 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Great 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Take That for Data 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 2 Nippy Red 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Troy Ounce 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Indicatif 20.00 1.5 3-1
9 7 Lil Bit of Justice 10.00 2 4-1
2 2 Jr’s Sauvage 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 6 Krisynsarasboy 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 And Yet Another 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 8 Miss Jenny’s Halo 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Broad Decision 1.80 6.7 13-1
5 4 Shot On Windy Hill 3.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Pray Ide Sing 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Big Boss Man 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Royal Galaxy 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Inlike Flen 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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