January 31, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Bella Brown | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire Blaster | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reckless Ransom | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Born Again George | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Why Joey Why | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | C’Mon Ve | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Indeed | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Happy Sonrisa | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sneak Peek | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Erin’s Enthusiasm | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vita | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Somthingscandalous | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tale of Mona | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dulcimer Dame | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gottabegolden | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Younmehoneybunny | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steamy Cry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hero of the Hour | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jefe | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | V Man | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Halo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Intent | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Party | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trivista | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afleet Roger | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Killeen | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chop Chop Charlie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Bonus | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treys Midnite Moon | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Antarctic | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of Candy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stock Trade | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | River Evangelist | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fleetway | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hideaway Hero | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iadanza | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Populist | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Contact | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twilight Fantasy | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Railman | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Good Clean Fun | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jazz It Up | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Da Gold Room | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aife | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashing Red | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alta’s Award | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ylikedis | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Russian Mafia | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kettle Valley | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Bank Baby | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Singita Dreams | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Clearly Sailing | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Halfglamorous | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tecate Time | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rue Lala | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lil Adeau | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Philly Wins | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Totally Grace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Ceant | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | It’s Mine | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sail On Ellen | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Slime Queen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chick Be Quick | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Take Charge Patti | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Simply Beguiled | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sconset | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Galileas Promise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tappin Into Summer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw X. | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Banker | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Valor | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | State Treasurer | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Philly | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Chaos | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spring Value | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Confederate Yell | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Booth Road Shine | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Oneholylion | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.