Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 31, 2021

January 31, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Bella Brown 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Fire Blaster 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Reckless Ransom 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Born Again George 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Why Joey Why 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 C’Mon Ve 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Free Indeed 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Happy Sonrisa 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Sneak Peek 3.50 3.8 7-1
10 9 Erin’s Enthusiasm 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 3 Vita 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Somthingscandalous 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Tale of Mona 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Dulcimer Dame 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Gottabegolden 20.00 7 13-1
6 5 Younmehoneybunny 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Steamy Cry 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hero of the Hour 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Jefe 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 V Man 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Dream Halo 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Good Intent 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Awesome Party 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Trivista 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Afleet Roger 10.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Killeen 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Chop Chop Charlie 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Executive Bonus 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Treys Midnite Moon 1.60 2.9 5-1
7 7 Antarctic 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 King of Candy 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Stock Trade 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 River Evangelist 30.00 7 13-1
9 9 Fleetway 20.00 7.1 14-1
10 10 Hideaway Hero 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Iadanza 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Populist 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 First Contact 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Twilight Fantasy 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Railman 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Good Clean Fun 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Jazz It Up 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Da Gold Room 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Aife 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Flashing Red 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Alta’s Award 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Ylikedis 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Russian Mafia 4.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Kettle Valley 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 West Bank Baby 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Singita Dreams 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Clearly Sailing 5.00 2 4-1
4 3 Halfglamorous 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 Tecate Time 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Rue Lala 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 5 Lil Adeau 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Philly Wins 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Totally Grace 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Ceant 3.00 2.6 5-1
9 7 It’s Mine 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Sail On Ellen 4.00 3 6-1
2 1 Slime Queen 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Chick Be Quick 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 4 Take Charge Patti 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 6 Simply Beguiled 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Sconset 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Galileas Promise 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tappin Into Summer 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Outlaw X. 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Greeley’s Banker 4.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Pure Valor 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 State Treasurer 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Philly 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Cajun Chaos 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Spring Value 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Confederate Yell 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Booth Road Shine 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Oneholylion 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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