Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 31, 2021

January 31, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nepotism 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Al’s Prince 1.40 1.8 3-1
3 3 Inspiration Point 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 The Reds 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Run Smitty Run 15.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Iron Pearls 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cathy Naz 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Fair Lassie 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Fair Regis 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Dublinornothin 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Sister Patricia 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Kinky Sox 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Micromillion 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Suz 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 No Deal 3.50 1.7 3-1
5A 4 Flat Awesome Jenny 2.00 2 4-1
8 6 Lune Lake 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Cover Photo 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Whyisshesoolucky 10.00 4.2 8-1
4A 4 Prime Lime 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Evan’s Nice Now 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ouch Ouch Ouch 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Democratic Values 0.80 2 4-1
5 5 Bourbon Rising 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 My First Grammy 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Kith 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Esor 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 A Gray for Carolyn 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pleasure Luck 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Make Mischief 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Shanes Pretty Lady 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Out First 5.00 3.8 7-1
4B 4 Iova 6.00 5.6 10-1
6B 6 Mendham 6.00 5.6 11-1
1A 1 Caramocha 10.00 5.7 11-1
7A 7 Chasing Cara 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Just Read It 2.50 1.3 3-1
4A 3 Cause to Dream 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Heels Together 2.00 2 4-1
8A 7 Chargina 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Despeight All Odds 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Strong Point 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 My Delicious 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Lulinda’s Heart 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ruvies in Time 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Baby Boss 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Violent Point 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Miss Jimmy 1.80 2.5 5-1
7 7 Elegant Zip 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Pendolino 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Awesome Alana 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jimmy Winkfield S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 Scotch Rock’s 1.40 1.2 2-1
6 5 Pico d’Oro 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 4 Return the Ring 3.00 1.7 3-1
1A 1 Hello Hot Rod 1.40 1.9 4-1
2 2 Magnificent Chrome 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Weyburn 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7A 6 Pollard’s Day 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Scotty 4.00 1.7 3-1
10 9 Bedazzling 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 2 Eight Weeks Long 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 War of Thrones 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Up for Adventure 6.00 2.4 5-1
8A 7 Ninety Nine George 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Litterbox 12.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Loulovestheriver 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 A Huge Checkpoint 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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