Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 30, 2021

January 30, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Bossy Mama 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 5 Maddie’s Mojito 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 2 Feeling Flush 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Ensleys Dream 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Our Little Tiger 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Jeanne B 30.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Our Miss Millie 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Lady On Ice 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Canadian Ginger 1.40 2.7 5-1
1 1 Tiz Toffee 1.80 3.3 6-1
6 5 Sherilinda 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Sea Glass 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Swirling 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Full Draw 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Big Billy 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 K P D Day 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Twirling Derby 2.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Mongol Altai 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Lucky Ryan Seven 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Landaa 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 This Tea 0.80 2.1 4-1
3 3 Lookintogeteven 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Awesome Pamela 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Shezaghost 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Miss Mo’ Licious 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Face Card Contessa 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – San Pasqual S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Express Train 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 King Guillermo 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Idol 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 Tizamagician 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Zestful 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Loud Mouth 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Speed Pass 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Parsimony 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 El Tigre Terrible 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sparky Ville 5.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Robert B. Lewis S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Hot Rod Charlie 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 6 Spielberg 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Roman Centurian 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Medina Spirit 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 2 Parnelli 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Wipe the Slate 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Rombauer 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Waspirant 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Seahawk Cody 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Sabuda 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Theluteismine 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Crash Corrigan 3.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Stone’s River 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 J T’s Watch 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Robin’s Legacy 15.00 8 15-1
3 3 Cousin Eddie 15.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Careless Kitten 30.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 The Roan Ranger 30.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Gabby Hayes 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Little Mischief 30.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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