Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 30, 2021

January 30, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Isabella’s Magic 30.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Tiz Auction Time 20.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Seven Plus Seven 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 True Shipman 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Commanding General 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Choclate Bodie 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 I’d Like to Know 5.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Whats the Chances 6.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Commissioner Biggs 1.60 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dat Dares Gold 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Tapete Claire 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Vibrancy 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Nine Martinis 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mary’s Jewel 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 I Love You 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Who’s Your Daddy 8.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Empty Pockets 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Thunder Thighs 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Tricky Spirits 12.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Stop Talking 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Golden Moon Shine 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Pond Hockey 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Diggin for Dough 20.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Great Cause 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Baptize the Boy 6.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 In the Loop 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Nomo Ron 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Day the Music Died 5.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Bourbon Street 12.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 John’s Promise 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Odds On 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Phantom Ro 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Jammer 30.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Award Wanted 12.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Lucre 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Bound for Broadway 15.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Presto Change O 15.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Originaly From Dot 1.60 2 4-1
1 1 Yeyetzi 30.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Hufflepuff 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Factorintheheat 20.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Wanderlust 30.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Miss Old Bay 20.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Castilleja 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Margie’s Heaven 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bigdaddysglory 15.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Eight Oaks 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Keeper in Spite 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Bean Indiscreet 8.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Worstbestideaever 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Cougar Vision 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Scamper Along 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Sunday in L B C 15.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Thea’s Theme 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Adabel 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 A Toast to Kay 15.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Texas Basin 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Dr. Ferber 20.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Shackled Love 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Nobody Knew 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Bribery 20.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Boss Logic 10.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Erawan 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Rrace Day Warrior 30.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Eric’s Empire 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Da Chrome 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nottoway 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Saratoga Jack 15.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Tybalt 5.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Cerulean Springs 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 My Friends Beer 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Honor the Fleet 15.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 Zabracadabra 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Alwaysmining 12.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Victory Time 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 My Queen Michelle 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Olive’s Bumpa 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Rapidashqueen 10.00 2 4-1
4 4 Ortinola 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 Arbutus 30.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Princess Georgia 15.00 2.3 4-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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