Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 30, 2021

January 30, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sovereign Warrior 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Unprecedented 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 No Bang No Boom (IRE) 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Star Weaver 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 R Man Joe 5.00 4 8-1
9 8 Allegedly Perfect 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Weekend Dreamer 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Guaco 20.00 5.8 11-1
11 9 Kobe Fifty Two 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Baby Brother 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Wicksters Dream 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Old Time Revival 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Mo Hawk 2.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Benefactor 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Life in Shambles 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Pudding 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Gran Omero (VEN) 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Deputy Czar 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Storm Boarder (CHI) 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wora 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Mubtadaa 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Dr. Duke 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Golden Spoke 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Hillbilly Logic 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Si Como No 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Palemma 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Kitten’s Joy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kentucky Pharoah 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 5 Never Surprised 1.80 2.7 5-1
2 2 It’s a Gamble 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Original 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Chess’s Dream 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Sigiloso 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Chao 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Karen’s Cove 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Weisser 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mozo Bello 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Kalu 4.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Siesta Moon 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Man of Vision 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Dr Harlan 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Young Raymond 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Lauderdale 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Frank First 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 9 Two Step Slew 30.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Incubator 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Claiborne Farm Swale S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 By George 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Drain the Clock 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Likeable 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Poppy’s Pride 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 King’s Ovation 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Ultimate Badger 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Action Jackson 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Seizing the Dream 4.00 3 6-1
9 8 Avenue 5.00 3.6 7-1
12 10 Advanced Placement 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Fly Like an Eagle 8.00 4 8-1
11 9 Jarlian 12.00 5.2 10-1
15 11 Prayer Book 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 King of Dreams 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Maxim Moment 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 5 Chrome Republic 20.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Van Dusen (GB) 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ariston 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Crew Dragon 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Please the Pharoah 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Lumberjack 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Couch Dreams 30.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Light Fury 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Austrian 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Tune In 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Seize the Hay 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Notsosubtle 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mr. Tip 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Semper Fi 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Burn the Boats 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 The Mighty Judge 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Uncle Curly 30.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Forward Gal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Zaajel 1.40 1.8 3-1
8 8 Coach Jer’s Joy 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Lady Traveler 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Three Tipsy Chix 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Wholebodemeister 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Competitive Speed 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Queen Arella 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Dial to Win 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sweetest Chant S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 White Frost 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Con Lima 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Honey Pants 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Domain Expertise 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Director’s Cut 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lionessofbrittany 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Candace O 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Queen of the Green 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Holy Bull S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Prime Factor 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Greatest Honour 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Amount 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Sittin On Go 5.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Awesome Gerry 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tarantino 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Willy Boi 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Jirafales 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Papetu 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Tusk 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 2 Honey Won’t 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 3 Financial System 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Fig Jelly 6.00 3.6 7-1
11 10 Blameless 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Dundalk 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Harbour Master (GB) 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Troubling Moon 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Monongahela 15.00 7 13-1
7 6 Willing to Speed 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 The Last Zip 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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