January 30, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sovereign Warrior | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unprecedented | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Bang No Boom (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Weaver | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Man Joe | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Allegedly Perfect | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Weekend Dreamer | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guaco | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kobe Fifty Two | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Brother | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Wicksters Dream | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Old Time Revival | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Hawk | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Benefactor | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Life in Shambles | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pudding | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gran Omero (VEN) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deputy Czar | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Boarder (CHI) | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wora | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mubtadaa | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Duke | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Spoke | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hillbilly Logic | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Si Como No | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palemma | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Kitten’s Joy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Kentucky Pharoah | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Never Surprised | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Gamble | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Original | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chess’s Dream | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sigiloso | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chao | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Karen’s Cove | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weisser | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mozo Bello | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kalu | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Siesta Moon | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Man of Vision | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dr Harlan | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Young Raymond | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lauderdale | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frank First | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Two Step Slew | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Incubator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Claiborne Farm Swale S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | By George | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drain the Clock | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Likeable | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Poppy’s Pride | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s Ovation | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Badger | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Action Jackson | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seizing the Dream | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Avenue | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Advanced Placement | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fly Like an Eagle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Jarlian | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Prayer Book | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King of Dreams | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maxim Moment | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chrome Republic | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Van Dusen (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ariston | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Crew Dragon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Please the Pharoah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lumberjack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Couch Dreams | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Light Fury | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Austrian | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tune In | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seize the Hay | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Notsosubtle | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Tip | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Semper Fi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Burn the Boats | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Mighty Judge | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Curly | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Forward Gal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zaajel | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coach Jer’s Joy | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Traveler | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Tipsy Chix | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wholebodemeister | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Competitive Speed | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Arella | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dial to Win | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sweetest Chant S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | White Frost | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Con Lima | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Pants | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Domain Expertise | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Director’s Cut | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lionessofbrittany | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candace O | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of the Green | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Holy Bull S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prime Factor | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Greatest Honour | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amount | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sittin On Go | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Gerry | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tarantino | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willy Boi | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jirafales | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papetu | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Tusk | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honey Won’t | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Financial System | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fig Jelly | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Blameless | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dundalk | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Harbour Master (GB) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Troubling Moon | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Monongahela | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Willing to Speed | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Last Zip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.