Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 29, 2021

January 29, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Capture a Victory 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Flatoya 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Kilbarry Lady 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Raggedy Annie 1.80 3.6 7-1
1 1 Collude 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Catechism 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Peek a Boo I See U 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lake Sense 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Flaming 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Souper Capacity 3.50 5 9-1
9 9 Wild Escape 3.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Klassy Point 20.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Dixieland Dream 12.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Crescendo Bling 15.00 8 15-1
2 2 Sailaway and Hide 12.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Dede’s Trick 5.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Mystical Matilda 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Lil Respect 15.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Itsallinthenotes 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Slewachit 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Danzig Star 30.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Backseat Promises 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Fleeta Belle 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Big Tiny 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Dave’s Baby Girl 4.50 4 8-1
4 3 Summer Lovin 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Strong Patriot 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Lucky Road 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Can’t Touch Me 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lady Rocket 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Charming Lady 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Casual 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Rising Seas 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sekani 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Break Curfew 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Sara Sea 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Specially 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bear Oak 3.00 2.1 4-1
12 11 Fast Recovery 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Major Kong 5.00 4 8-1
11 10 Georgia Deputy 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Derby Code 3.50 4.9 9-1
10 9 Shake It 10.00 5 9-1
9 8 Foxy Ace 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Recklessness 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Allen 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Niall 30.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Blanco Bronco 30.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 She Love Me 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Papa Star 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Rock City Rocket 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Explosive Humour 6.00 5 10-1
6 6 Random Affair 4.50 5.5 10-1
12 11 Goose Almighty 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Hoss J W 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Slightly Crafty 12.00 6.7 13-1
11 10 Serbian Sailor 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Demigod 20.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Ima Bling Cat 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Unbridled Shoes 30.00 10.9 21-1
10 9 Chiki Boy 30.00 11.5 22-1
13 12 Dixie’s Hero 30.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Excession 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Beaver Hat 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Claytnthelionheart 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Totally Jimbo 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Guided Missile 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Substantial 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Atoka 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Alex Joon 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Money for Mischief 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Sound 2.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Jungle Runner 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Warrior’s Map 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Dean Martini 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Great Faces 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Make Noise 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Muralist 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Mo Mosa 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 What a Country 12.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Elitch 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 7 Candy Carlos 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Aqwaam 3.00 4.3 8-1
12 10 Off Sixes 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 5 I Will Stand 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Little No Way 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 You Split Tens 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 8 Tashkent 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 6 Always a Catch 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 4 Dealin’ Stelen 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Hit the Ticket 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Wagon Boss 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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