January 29, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Capture a Victory | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flatoya | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kilbarry Lady | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raggedy Annie | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collude | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catechism | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peek a Boo I See U | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lake Sense | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flaming | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Capacity | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Escape | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Klassy Point | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dixieland Dream | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crescendo Bling | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailaway and Hide | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dede’s Trick | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystical Matilda | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Respect | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Itsallinthenotes | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Slewachit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Danzig Star | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Backseat Promises | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fleeta Belle | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Tiny | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dave’s Baby Girl | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Summer Lovin | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strong Patriot | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Road | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can’t Touch Me | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Rocket | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Lady | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Casual | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rising Seas | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sekani | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Break Curfew | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sara Sea | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Specially | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bear Oak | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fast Recovery | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Major Kong | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Georgia Deputy | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Code | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shake It | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Foxy Ace | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Recklessness | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Allen | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Niall | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blanco Bronco | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She Love Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Star | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rock City Rocket | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Explosive Humour | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Random Affair | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Goose Almighty | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hoss J W | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Slightly Crafty | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Serbian Sailor | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Demigod | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ima Bling Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Shoes | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chiki Boy | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Dixie’s Hero | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Excession | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beaver Hat | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Claytnthelionheart | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Totally Jimbo | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guided Missile | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Substantial | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atoka | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alex Joon | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Money for Mischief | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Sound | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jungle Runner | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior’s Map | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dean Martini | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Faces | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Make Noise | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muralist | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Mosa | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What a Country | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Elitch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Candy Carlos | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aqwaam | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Off Sixes | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I Will Stand | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Little No Way | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | You Split Tens | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tashkent | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Always a Catch | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dealin’ Stelen | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Ticket | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wagon Boss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.