Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 29, 2021

January 29, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Exaggerated Moment 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Treasured Nikky 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Fior Di Latte 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Pitufina 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Shouldaknownbetter 10.00 5 10-1
2 2 Miss Moreno 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Pottsylvania 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Talk Dirty 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Pretzel 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 La Dame 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Exxtop 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Nona Rac 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Royal Meeting 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Sadio 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Geometrico 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Unimpeached 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Water Cay 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Neverenoughcoco 30.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 City Glory 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Deo Forte 1.60 2.6 5-1
4 3 The Spider 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Took a Cab 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Balaban 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Starship Taxi 15.00 5 9-1
5 4 Cool Dixie Man 20.00 6 11-1
6 5 Sage Canyon 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Cold Warrior 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mista Donzella 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Especiallea 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 He Ain’t No Saint 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Westerly Wind 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Liams Star 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Double David 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Quinto Sol 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Sweeney’s Cat 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Colonel Tom 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Dugout 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Discretionary Marq 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Earth 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Gran Malbec 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Youshouldbesolucky 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Tenacity Zip 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Mar Vista Miguel 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gitana 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 2 Hold the Applause 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Classy Beast 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Sweetsweetsweet 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Queen Abarrio 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Lady Allyn 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Takestwotowiggle 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Blues Songs 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hurricane Breeze 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 La Cara Bonita 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Yellen 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dream Chasing 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Centsational 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Freezer Burn 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Noble Maria 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Zip It Jess 30.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Morning Colors 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Areyoutalkingtome 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 January Won 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Zonic 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Starship Apollo 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Rosas Way 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Aequor 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Quasar Moon 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Monmouth Dr 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magical Soul 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Can’t Buy Love 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Danessa Baby 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Fouzia 4.00 3 6-1
7 6 La Libertee 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Gambling Cat 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Flash Town 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Lailoni 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 5 Sammy’s Town 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 6 Wedontbelieveher 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Abarrio Forever 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 8 Katniss Kan 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 4 My Little Rose 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Shes One Mad Momma 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Trevess 15.00 5.8 11-1
11 9 Talkthetalk 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 7 Dubaian 30.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Ms Big Spring 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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