Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 29, 2021

January 29, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beautiful Bella 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 6 Crazy Good 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Annie’s Shenanigan 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Goingtoagogo 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bee House 6.00 4 7-1
6 5 I Got Wings 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 You’re Doing Fine 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Woman With a Book 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Cap Rock Miner 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Overzealous 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 2 Zanesville 1.80 3.5 7-1
5 5 Citali 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Forestdungone 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Adina 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 4 Roman Jewels 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Madison’s Place 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Smoothoutthetrack 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Maw Maw’s Sophia 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sandy’s Wager 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Blue Ridge Heat 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Foursweetnieces 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Payday Too 4.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Papa’s Boy 3.50 3.4 7-1
7 7 Musical Man 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Greeley Went West 5.00 4 8-1
9 9 Stuck in Vegas 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Kingdom Way 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 The Mo U No 5.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Im a Cowboy Too 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Whatdatpay Ray 15.00 9 17-1
10 10 Cabo’s Rumor 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Social Afleet 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Shilah Baby 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Money Inthe Starrs 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Margie’s Money 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Sworn Silence 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Ragatagtag 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Altered Dream 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Kenai Cool 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kehron’s Creed 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Barleewon 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 7 Homebred 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Bring Me a Check 3.50 4.5 9-1
9 8 Mishko 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 9 The Green Mo’ster 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 1 Simply 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Caramel Angel 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 6 Tapage 12.00 8.1 15-1
6 5 Lastchanceatglory 12.00 9 17-1
5 4 Forloveofcountry 12.00 9.3 18-1
1A 11 Canihaveitlikethat 8.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Gemo Rain 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Guilty Lover 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Ranch Badge 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Jackie Moon 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mighty Able 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Chinese Bandit 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Grief 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Coffee County 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Joeboy 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Catinandscatin 8.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Space Mountain 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Late Nite Mischief 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Noble Egyptian 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 New Eagle 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ghost Giant 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Merlin’s Song 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Honovi 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Jo’s Bold Cat 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Majestic Sign 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Clint Maroon (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Miss Laughalot 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Sarah Adriana 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 G’s Squeeze 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Our Starlet 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Kimmy 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Shelleys a Warrior 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Flat Out Crypto 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 2 Custom for Aly 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Eve’s Delight 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Julia’s Chance 30.00 9.4 18-1
1A 5 Grace’s Gal 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.