January 28, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Warfront Fighter | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scorpion Dynasty | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Confectioner | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maclean’s Legacy | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Height | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Across the Channel | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Make Or Break | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Behind the Couch | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halo City | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mama Kin | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Pinky | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jasminesque | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Skippingandajumpin | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beatthatflew | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9A | 8 | Writer’s Regret | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Out of Tune | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8B | 7 | Sophos | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4B | 3 | In the Zone | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scotto | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tapitena | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vice King | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Litterbox | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pinky Dude | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cause of Action | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Alongcametheprince | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen’s Mason | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Front | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Larceny | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Take It to Scale | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapizearance | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big’s Gray Day | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Moonshiningbright | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bird Ruler | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crowded Trade | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ranger Fox | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Hyperactive Chris | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Rudy Rod | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lemon Drop Road | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Indian | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Brilliant Brooks | 0.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Money in the Bank | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bend in the River | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Latin Love Bug | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Light the Posse | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scoreswhenhewants | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Montauk Daddy | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blu Grotto | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ask Neal | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sinashack | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sono Grato | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nerves of Steel | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rocco Strong | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | We Ready | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischievous Juan | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | I Love Jaxson | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hooray for Harvey | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Scarf It Down | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Hammerin Aamer | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mac’s Revolution | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6A | 4 | Zitman | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10A | 8 | Flatexcel | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Chief Know It All | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gio d’Oro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Other Things Equal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.