Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, January 27, 2021

January 27, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Star Rocket 20.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Majestic Society 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Clever Racer 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Last Nite Out 4.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Common Law Cat 3.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Ibeam 1.40 6.4 12-1
4 4 Sent’s Galaxy 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Grand Little Man 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rattlesnake River 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Hog Wild 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Joe Diver 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Go Ortego Go 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Let It B 1.60 5.6 11-1
1 1 Tiz the Dude 2.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Go Figure 4.50 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tale of Tensas 8.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Theboyztap 8.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 While My Guitar 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Kentucky Saga 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 St. Monica 20.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 A. K. A. Grams 2.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Takenforgranted 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Perfect Peach 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Annie Sullivan 12.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Khalid 8.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Lullaby Bandit 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 6 Sharp Memories 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Dream Twister 3.50 6.6 12-1
1 1 Silky’s Dance 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Custom K 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Desiard 1.60 6.9 13-1
5 5 Abbie Cajun Storm 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hopeitsamiracle 15.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Love and Lemons 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Promise Tender 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 C C’s Baby Girl 6.00 5 9-1
8 7 Brew Casa 3.50 5.4 10-1
9 8 Sassy Mallory 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Bella Moon 4.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Double Down Britt 8.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Byanymeans 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 At Once 5.00 0.8 2-1
4 4 Run Now Estella 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Suckerforagrey 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Old Fashion Amour 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Duepeg 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Kodiak Sky 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Silver Siren 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Hiclass Production 1.80 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Three Run Homer 12.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Aqualityindividual 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Run Tappy 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 4 Netela 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Hatties Jewel 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Natealyze 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Starship Zeus 4.50 4.5 8-1
9 8 Giant Mesa 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Masterly 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Southern Dudette 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 Grillin 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Paper Doll 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 New Orleans Spice 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Ten Count Out 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 She’s Seventeen 5.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Miss Pat’s Girl 2.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Smokin Hot Momma 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Shallow River 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Have No Fear 3.50 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Thirsty Wind 15.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Everydayschristmas 12.00 7.8 15-1
10 9 Gottatakehimto 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 7 Zyzack 10.00 8.3 16-1
7 6 Gaspergou 8.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Midnight Revolt 3.50 8.5 16-1
1 1 Hope for Change 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Ambassador House 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Civil Servant 1.40 8.8 17-1
6 5 Cheveyo 5.00 9 17-1
5 5 Escape the Galaxy 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.