Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 24, 2021

January 24, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Emma and I 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Rosey’s Peach 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Barefoot Dancer 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cross Island 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Delaware Destiny 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Rosies Surprise 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Bellamy’spartygirl 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Quashana 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Maria’s Gift 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Empress Luciana 8.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Mani Pedi 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Mind of Gold 1.40 3 6-1
3 3 Charlotte Webley 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Big Al’s Gal 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Elite Speed 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Syzygy 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Tuff Bird 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Perceived 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Our Country 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Advance Notice 2.50 2.9 5-1
7A 6 Doubly Blessed 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Grit and Glory 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Shanghaischool 12.00 5.3 10-1
3A 3 Liam’s Fire 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quality Stones 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Halama 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 City Temper 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Left Leaning Lucy 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Stunning Munnings 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Saratoga Beauty 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Cadeau de Paix 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 La Negrita 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Happy Sophia 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Alluring Lady 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Jill’s a Hot Mess 3.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Irresistible Girl 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Blame It On Mary 4.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hip Number One 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Chilly Choos 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Bewps 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Hey Red 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Bella Principessa 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Lollygag 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Impazible Donna 1.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Beautiful Karen 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Eloquent Speaker 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Wailin Josie 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Quietude 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sky Kitten 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Anydayisherday 30.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Repeal and Replace 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Dancing Kiki 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Ghostghostghost 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Funny Bones Flag 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Bella Domenica 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Calidad 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Undetectable 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Grape Therapy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Busanda S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Grass Is Blue 1.40 1.4 3-1
2 2 Coffee Bar 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Traffic Lane 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Wonderwall 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Diamond Ore 8.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 5 Lorenzen 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Ringgood 3.00 2.3 4-1
10 7 Z’finale 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Whichwaytomalibu 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Sal My Pal 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 6 Whats in It for Me 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 True Palace 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Reticent 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Oliver Witha Twist 30.00 SCRATCH
7A 7 Starship Empire 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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