January 24, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Emma and I | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rosey’s Peach | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Barefoot Dancer | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cross Island | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Delaware Destiny | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rosies Surprise | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bellamy’spartygirl | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quashana | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maria’s Gift | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Empress Luciana | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mani Pedi | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mind of Gold | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlotte Webley | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Al’s Gal | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elite Speed | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Syzygy | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tuff Bird | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Perceived | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Country | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Advance Notice | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Doubly Blessed | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grit and Glory | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghaischool | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Liam’s Fire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quality Stones | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Halama | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | City Temper | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Left Leaning Lucy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stunning Munnings | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Beauty | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cadeau de Paix | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Negrita | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Sophia | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Alluring Lady | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Irresistible Girl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame It On Mary | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hip Number One | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chilly Choos | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bewps | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Red | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Principessa | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lollygag | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Impazible Donna | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Karen | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eloquent Speaker | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wailin Josie | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quietude | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Kitten | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Anydayisherday | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Repeal and Replace | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Kiki | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ghostghostghost | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Funny Bones Flag | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Domenica | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calidad | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Undetectable | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grape Therapy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Busanda S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Grass Is Blue | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coffee Bar | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Traffic Lane | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonderwall | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Ore | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 5 | Lorenzen | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ringgood | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Z’finale | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whichwaytomalibu | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sal My Pal | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Whats in It for Me | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Palace | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reticent | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Oliver Witha Twist | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Starship Empire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.