Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 23, 2021

January 23, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cruel Intention 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 6 Chasin Munny 8.00 5 9-1
10 8 Tripoli 3.00 5.5 10-1
7 5 Symphonic 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 7 Vantastic 6.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Howbeit 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Preaching Trainer 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Single Me Out 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Bad Beat 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rayray 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Anaconda 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Great One 1.40 1.6 3-1
4 3 Affable 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Fenway 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 There Goes Harvard 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Chasing Fame 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Justin’s Quest 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 C Falls 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Honos Man 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Seeking Refuge 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Storm the Bastille (FR) 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Carmelita’s Man 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Dr. Troutman 15.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Sly 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Meadway 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Princess Ellie 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Royal Blend 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Ruthies Racer 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Warren’s Memorable 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mama Superior 6.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Luxury Liner 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Respectfully 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Smooth Rithms 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Scat’s Choice 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Seguro 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Malibu Mistress 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Exchange Vows 30.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Daring Cat 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Will Take a Kiss 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tartini 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Noble Thought 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Vegas Kitten 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 The Stiff 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Shadow Sphinx 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Lure Him In 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Kiwi’s Dream (AUS) 2.50 5 9-1
9 9 Kazan (IRE) 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 New Year 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Palos Verdes S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shashashakemeup 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Pyron 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Take the One O One 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Wildman Jack 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Ax Man 3.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Captain Scotty 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Shooters Shoot 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Kneedeepinsnow 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cassie Belle 6.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Applecross (IRE) 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Good On Paper 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Clearly Gone 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Sassyserb 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Escape The City (GB) 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Nu Pi Lambda 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Shanghai Truffles 3.50 7.4 14-1
1 1 Hollywood Girl 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Noble Hearted 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Best of Show 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Lulu D’ Oro 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Smart Lola 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Big Al’s Princess 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Nurse Hardbody 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Shanghai Sunrise 2.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Here Comes Ralphie 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Felicidad Legada 30.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Backtoflash 30.00 8.2 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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