January 23, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cruel Intention | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Chasin Munny | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Tripoli | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Symphonic | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Vantastic | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Howbeit | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Preaching Trainer | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Single Me Out | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Beat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rayray | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Anaconda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Great One | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Affable | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fenway | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | There Goes Harvard | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Fame | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Justin’s Quest | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C Falls | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honos Man | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Refuge | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carmelita’s Man | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Troutman | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sly | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Meadway | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Princess Ellie | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Blend | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruthies Racer | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Memorable | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mama Superior | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Luxury Liner | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Respectfully | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Rithms | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scat’s Choice | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seguro | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Mistress | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exchange Vows | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daring Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Will Take a Kiss | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tartini | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Thought | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Kitten | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Stiff | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shadow Sphinx | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lure Him In | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiwi’s Dream (AUS) | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kazan (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | New Year | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Palos Verdes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shashashakemeup | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pyron | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take the One O One | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wildman Jack | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ax Man | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Scotty | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shooters Shoot | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kneedeepinsnow | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cassie Belle | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Applecross (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good On Paper | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clearly Gone | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassyserb | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Escape The City (GB) | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nu Pi Lambda | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shanghai Truffles | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Girl | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Hearted | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Best of Show | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lulu D’ Oro | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Lola | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Al’s Princess | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nurse Hardbody | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shanghai Sunrise | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Here Comes Ralphie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Felicidad Legada | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backtoflash | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.