Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 23, 2021

January 23, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Chitto 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Its My Bag Baby 2.50 5.7 11-1
12 11 Hesluck 30.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Alex’s Strike 5.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Yamano Maker (JPN) 8.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Tick Tack Mo 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 7 Rogallo 4.00 8.7 16-1
10 9 Tough Company 15.00 8.8 17-1
7 6 Stash the Cash 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Church of Many 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Boo Reid 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Irish Spirit 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cowboy Tuff 15.00 10.3 20-1
3 3 Hamazing Song 30.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Knight’s Cross 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 California Swing 10.00 5 9-1
10 9 Ego 12.00 5.5 10-1
11 10 Shweet Persuasion 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Pickford 8.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Epic (ARG) 4.50 7.5 14-1
2 2 Potomac 10.00 8 15-1
8 7 Driven to Compete 15.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Gambler’s Fallacy 30.00 8.7 17-1
7 7 Rare Form 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Lookin for Eight 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Majestic John’s 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Recount 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Wake Up Joe 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Please the Court 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Greeley and Ben 3.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Hubbadahubbadaboom 6.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Mine My Time 30.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Bitumen 2.50 6.6 12-1
12 12 Ghostly Who 10.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Easter Music 30.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 One for Richie 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Ace Destroyer 12.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 All Star Red 4.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Impressed 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Town Champ 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Champagneonme 3.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Thomas Shelby 5.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Easy Shot 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Jalen Journey 2.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Gordy Florida 4.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Awesome Gent 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 I’m Corfu 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Outasite 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Stilleto Boy 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Macron 3.50 6.3 12-1
12 11 Name Rejected 4.50 6.5 12-1
2 2 Test of Will 8.00 9.1 17-1
10 9 Street Toll 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Bamalama 12.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 King of the Nite 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cronus 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lazaretto 15.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Heartbreaker 20.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 Devil’s Tower 15.00 11.7 22-1
7 7 Ram 20.00 13.4 25-1
8 8 Big in the City 20.00 14.4 27-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Fifth Season S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Night Ops 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Hunka Burning Love 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Silver State 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Nifty 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Pioneer Spirit 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Full Authority 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Combatant 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Joe Frazier 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Oncoming Train 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Swiftsure 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Twilight Blue 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 5 Bob’s Edge 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Causeway Jones 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 2 Eurochippygolfer 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Sir Wellington 8.00 7.2 14-1
9 8 Sound the Charge 10.00 8.8 17-1
4 3 Lock Up 15.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Lawlessness 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pippin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vault 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 10 Graysonsmacho Gal 15.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 His Glory 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Regal Beauty 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Wicked Whisper 3.00 6.1 12-1
5 4 Chance to Shine 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Figure It Out 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Istan Council 3.50 7.1 13-1
8 7 Blessed Again 30.00 7.3 14-1
12 11 Our Super Freak 6.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Getridofwhatailesu 6.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Sara Sea 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Marion Francis 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Catalan 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Force of Nature 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 10 La Pulcinela 4.00 6.6 13-1
12 11 Princess Lea 6.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Grace’s Secret 5.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Church Service 30.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Gravitron 8.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Miss Tulsa 12.00 9 17-1
10 9 Seeking Honor 20.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Shes Got It 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Call Krystal 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Trumpet Lilly 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Windmill 10.00 10.3 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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