January 23, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hip Flask | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gilded Apple | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G’s Mine | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galaxy Star | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glitter Time | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Froideur | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Coy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Causewaycat | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Divided | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blessed Villana | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Schnell | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creole Charlie | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Janets Jay Jay | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Perigee | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | G’wildcat | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Them Justin | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernie Special | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Spun d’Etat | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Killer Dress | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess d’Oro | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magnetism | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Arm Candy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Risky Reward | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Earth Strike (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Eatorbeeaten | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Guitar King | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chambliss | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fleet Run | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Available Star | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | M V P Mookie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Striking Star | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Red Kid | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss You Jo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supersport Sally | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Guitar Tribute | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Freedomfi | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Imindycatbirdseat | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Conquers | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Intuition | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Don Guillermo | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | In Charge Halo | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Les Paul | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10A | 6 | Remembermis | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maga Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 5 | Louisiana Moon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mangelsen | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Run Rocket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stylin Uptown | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Lily | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Easy to Bless | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wave of Goodness | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Caviar Resolution | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodie On Pointe | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Engreida | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | Defied | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Moliere | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Citizen West | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Absam | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Win d’Oro | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Intentional Walk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ghost of the Mambo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Summer Palace | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Reigning Spirit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sliabh Aughty (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gold Double | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Summer | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breezy Money | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ekati’s Verve | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Treasury | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graves Mill Road | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get the Net | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 5 | Singita Dreams | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Teenage Kicks | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Dreamalildreamofu | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 2 | Ginny B | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Sensible Myth | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ylikedis | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | West Bank Baby | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Russian Mafia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Spartanka | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Flashing Red | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kettle Valley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Aife | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Theos Flew | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nocomet | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | C F Johnathan | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Old Hat | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ray’s Kimua | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tucker the Grouch | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yankee Clipper | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justin’smemories | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grey Sloan | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Semi Charmed Life | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.