Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 23, 2021

January 23, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hip Flask 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Gilded Apple 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 G’s Mine 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Galaxy Star 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Glitter Time 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Froideur 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Magic Coy 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Causewaycat 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Divided 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Blessed Villana 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Schnell 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Creole Charlie 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Janets Jay Jay 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Perfect Perigee 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 G’wildcat 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Get Them Justin 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Bernie Special 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Spun d’Etat 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Killer Dress 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Princess d’Oro 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Magnetism 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Arm Candy 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Risky Reward 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Earth Strike (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Eatorbeeaten 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Guitar King 6.00 3 6-1
9 8 Chambliss 4.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Fleet Run 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Available Star 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 M V P Mookie 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Striking Star 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Little Red Kid 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Miss You Jo 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Supersport Sally 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Guitar Tribute 3.50 2.8 5-1
13 9 Freedomfi 4.50 2.8 5-1
11 7 Imindycatbirdseat 4.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Love Conquers 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mister Intuition 12.00 6.1 11-1
7 4 Don Guillermo 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 5 In Charge Halo 15.00 7.3 14-1
12 8 Les Paul 20.00 7.6 14-1
10A 6 Remembermis 12.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Maga Man 12.00 SCRATCH
5A 5 Louisiana Moon 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mangelsen 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Run Rocket 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Stylin Uptown 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Diamond Lily 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Easy to Bless 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Wave of Goodness 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Caviar Resolution 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bodie On Pointe 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 La Engreida 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 5 Defied 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Moliere 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 3 Citizen West 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 4 Absam 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Win d’Oro 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Intentional Walk 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ghost of the Mambo 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Summer Palace 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Reigning Spirit 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Sliabh Aughty (FR) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gold Double 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 Kentucky Summer 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Breezy Money 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Ekati’s Verve 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Treasury 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Graves Mill Road 8.00 4 7-1
6 6 Get the Net 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 5 Singita Dreams 4.00 2.6 5-1
1A 1 Teenage Kicks 6.00 3 6-1
10 4 Dreamalildreamofu 5.00 3 6-1
6A 2 Ginny B 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 3 Sensible Myth 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Ylikedis 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 West Bank Baby 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Russian Mafia 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Spartanka 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Flashing Red 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kettle Valley 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Aife 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Theos Flew 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Nocomet 4.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 C F Johnathan 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Mr. Old Hat 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ray’s Kimua 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Tucker the Grouch 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Yankee Clipper 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Justin’smemories 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Grey Sloan 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Semi Charmed Life 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Sneaky Allie Kat 20.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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