Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 22, 2021

January 22, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Assert Dominance 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Optimistic Valor 6.00 2.9 5-1
12 11 Pugin 2.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Party of No 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Young Flint 10.00 5 10-1
4 4 Thirsty’s Pride 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Navajo Creed 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Pull a Freddie 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Duel Fuel 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 No Drama 30.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Dreaming Thousand 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Uncaptured Pulse 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Can’t Be Broken 30.00 10.8 20-1
14 12 Jimbo 30.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Sense a Million 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Antigone 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Skye Snow 2.50 3 6-1
6 5 Our Fantasy 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Magicgirl 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Money Factor 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Money Never Sleeps 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Island Vibe 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Twirling Dervish 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Addi 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Emperor’s Song 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Theycallmeprincess 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Trinni Girls 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Water Wizard 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 The Reign Man 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 8 Harper Go Lucky 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Yes for Less 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 First Homestead 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 El Zeus 12.00 6 11-1
6 5 Chill Haze 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 Pricey Victory 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 9 Captain Duke 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 4 Barbie’s King 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 I Got a Secret 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Passion Plus 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Isadorable Aida 3.50 4.2 8-1
10 10 Generic Mark 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Real Doozie 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dance Till Dawn 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Feature Creature 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Miss Jen 12.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Yako 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Fantastic Kingdom 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Dixie Princess 30.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Aguas Coloradas 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 No Commission 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 R King Kong 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Golden Tone 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Curve 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Weight of Glory 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Midnight Tequila 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Compass Cay 30.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Yamato 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Rocket Joe Copper 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Good Old Boy 5.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 My Point Exactly 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 High Noon Rider 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Mid Day Image 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Belgrano 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Lookin At Roses 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Danville 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Zippy 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Angelcents 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Double Medal 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Thinkin Cowtown 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Miss Miami 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 War Star 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Song River 12.00 4 7-1
8 8 Distinctly Blue 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Nikee Kan 30.00 7 13-1
4 4 Follow Me Mom 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Arham 1.60 1.2 2-1
7 7 Whyruawesome 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Untitled 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Girolamo’s Attack 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Ready to Answer 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Doc Amster 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Sagamore Mischief 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Royal Squeeze 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miahsolomiah 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Livin At the Beach 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Winnipeg Wonder 3.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Seamialaugh 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 K’s Running Free 6.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Princess Merida 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Sassy Cat 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Hoity Toity 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 St. Louie Arch 20.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Imhavinaverygooday 30.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Blessing Memories 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Mama Longlegs 30.00 9.3 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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