January 22, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Bayou Jam | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | J C’s in Town | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Four Sevens | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sir Pokerface | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Richie Gary | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Standing Man | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Jaci’s Royalty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Inca Warrior | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eastside Cool | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flags Up | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Incense | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Fire | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olympic Champion | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out American | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dance Away | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Theboyzgalaxy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Distractor Factor | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sincerity | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | For Real Alice | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Dont Know Either | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Onetwomanyrockets | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Spider Legs | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Platinum Sky | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | World War | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strummer | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Platinum Queen | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lucky Linda | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Opps My Bad | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kittenofthe Court | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Devil With a Dash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Tetheredtothetruth | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Mercedes Ladies | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Makeajoyfulnoise | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hoodwink | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wrapper Rule | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jersey Lillie | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Telling Thyme | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Confusion | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brest Fortress | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Business Lady | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Golden Sweets | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Irish Bayou | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Priority | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Miller’s Pointe | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good Old Charlie | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smarty Alex | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Crown Me Jackson | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Starvictory | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amavi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Totally Addicted | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bitsy’s Other Half | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Legend | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gianna’s Gift | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goulding | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love of My Heart | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Diamond | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zebecca | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Blissful Change | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Rocket Reload | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Off We Go | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Montpelier | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Golden Account | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Edith | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Suite Madam Blue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blossom Road | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Big Money | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D’wild Muffin | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monarchos Prayer | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flash Hands | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toodaloo to You | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Bandit | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom for Carlita | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherry Twist | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Active Girl | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.