January 22, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strafe | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O’Trouble | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ribbons and Medals | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Buckley | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rapido Gatta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ekhtibaar | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Ramsey | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Dude | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Style | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Air Attack | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Dansky | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Royal Kaz | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonshine Maker | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brunate | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apex Predator | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brickyard | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Have a Heart | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hereissio | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don Martin | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Wind | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Blitchton Lady | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buyer’s Remorse | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie Milton | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bonus Baby | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookbothways | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pendolino | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dial Me Up | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | The Big S | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Boy Mo | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Victory Built | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bulwark | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Four of Swords | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr Phil | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stanhope | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Breithorn | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Sunshine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lord Camden | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady’s Boy | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Talespin | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Imperio D | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Simbasalltrouble | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fivestar Bandit | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Second Fortune | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wisecrack | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whats in It for Me | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Timed Out | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Poncho Song | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tap the Barrel | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Comedian | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take It Off | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pazzion | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ms Wicked | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Targeted Return | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Open Lengths | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allied Invasion | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Super Wicked Charm | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fotis | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Amanjena | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shadow Caster | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Healy’s Hope | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glenn Likes Gin | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King of American | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pricing Exercise | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.