Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 22, 2021

January 22, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Strafe 1.60 1.1 2-1
1 1 O’Trouble 1.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Ribbons and Medals 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Mr. Buckley 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Rapido Gatta 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ekhtibaar 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Lucky Ramsey 4.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Super Dude 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Creative Style 1.60 2.6 5-1
1 1 Air Attack 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 The Great Dansky 30.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Royal Kaz 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Moonshine Maker 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Brunate 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Apex Predator 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Brickyard 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Have a Heart 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Hereissio 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Don Martin 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Mighty Wind 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Blitchton Lady 1.20 2.1 4-1
2 2 Buyer’s Remorse 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Jackie Milton 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Bonus Baby 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Lookbothways 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Pendolino 20.00 5 10-1
6 6 Dial Me Up 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 The Big S 1.60 3.2 6-1
7 6 Big Boy Mo 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Victory Built 4.50 3.7 7-1
9 8 Bulwark 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Four of Swords 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Mr Phil 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Stanhope 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Breithorn 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Mucho Sunshine 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Lord Camden 1.20 1.7 3-1
9 8 Lady’s Boy 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Talespin 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Imperio D 1.80 3.3 6-1
4 3 Simbasalltrouble 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Fivestar Bandit 20.00 4 8-1
5 4 Second Fortune 50.00 6 11-1
6 5 Wisecrack 50.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Whats in It for Me 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Timed Out 1.60 2.2 4-1
8 7 Poncho Song 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Tap the Barrel 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Miss Comedian 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Take It Off 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Pazzion 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Ms Wicked 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Targeted Return 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Open Lengths 0.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Allied Invasion 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 8 Super Wicked Charm 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Fotis 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 My Amanjena 15.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Shadow Caster 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Healy’s Hope 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Glenn Likes Gin 30.00 7 13-1
8 7 King of American 30.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Pricing Exercise 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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