Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 21, 2021

January 21, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Get Rewarded 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Jabuticaba 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Vitaemi 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Queens Embrace 1.40 3.6 7-1
8 8 Zodiac Princess 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Jost Sayin 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Towa 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Charge Account 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Excalibur 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Warrant Officer 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Duchossois 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Mighty Fast 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Midnight Whiskey 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Ranger Up 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Prospect Project 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Power (BRZ) 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Camellia Gal 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Valletta 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Stripping 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Wicked Mercury 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Giggle Factory 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Omnia 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Our Little Jewel 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Liesel 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Ketchikan 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Shakem 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Metafora 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Baby Lion 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Faith’s a Bluebird 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 King Angelo 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Core Conviction 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Gear Jockey 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Voodoo Zip 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 8 Rochambeau 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Caveat Emptor 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 High Deff (FR) 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Carmichael 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Mighty Tough 30.00 8 15-1
8 8 Liam’s Boy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rocking the Boat 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Turn On the Magic 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Gran Omero (VEN) 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Palace Coup 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Skyscanner 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Business Cycle 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Sweet Pearl 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 I Get It 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Viburnum 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 2 Hadley 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Polished Gem 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Terry’s Dream 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Coffee Buzz Buzz 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Viking Queen 12.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Dixieland Darling 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kirby 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Pretty Liddie 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Miss Italy 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Luisana Princess 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Fearless Ideas 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Texas Reward 6.00 4 7-1
5 5 Pandorica 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Honorable 3.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Fulmini 4.00 3 6-1
7 6 Richiesgotgame 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 7 Zippy Baby 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mira Mission 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 9 Chao 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Halcyon Digest 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Yes This Time 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 5 Gods Blessing 15.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Southern Passage 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ghostlyprince 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strike the Top 5.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Palace Kitten 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Bee Catcher 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Hardredcandy 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Reliability 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Indian Counselor 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Auburn Hills 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Ahnaf 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 South Pointe Drive 20.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Alejandro’s Team 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Call Bros 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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