January 21, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Get Rewarded | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jabuticaba | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vitaemi | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queens Embrace | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zodiac Princess | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jost Sayin | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Towa | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charge Account | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Excalibur | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrant Officer | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duchossois | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Fast | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Whiskey | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ranger Up | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prospect Project | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power (BRZ) | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Camellia Gal | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valletta | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stripping | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Mercury | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giggle Factory | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omnia | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Little Jewel | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Liesel | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ketchikan | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shakem | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Metafora | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Lion | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Faith’s a Bluebird | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King Angelo | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Core Conviction | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gear Jockey | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Voodoo Zip | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rochambeau | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caveat Emptor | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Deff (FR) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Carmichael | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Tough | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liam’s Boy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rocking the Boat | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Turn On the Magic | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gran Omero (VEN) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Coup | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Skyscanner | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Business Cycle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Sweet Pearl | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I Get It | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Viburnum | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hadley | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Polished Gem | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Terry’s Dream | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Coffee Buzz Buzz | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Viking Queen | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixieland Darling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kirby | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Liddie | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Italy | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luisana Princess | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fearless Ideas | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Reward | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pandorica | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honorable | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fulmini | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Richiesgotgame | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zippy Baby | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mira Mission | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Chao | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halcyon Digest | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes This Time | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gods Blessing | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Passage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ghostlyprince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Strike the Top | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Palace Kitten | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee Catcher | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hardredcandy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reliability | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Counselor | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Auburn Hills | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ahnaf | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | South Pointe Drive | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Alejandro’s Team | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Bros | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.