Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 18, 2021

January 18, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pasatime 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Carmeltini 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Too Much Drama 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Quiet Please 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Wises Landing 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Why Not You 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Pablo’s Dream 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Baringer Spring 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 Democratic 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Green Growth 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Beachside 3.50 4 8-1
3 2 Bundi Bundi 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 7 Repeated Promise 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Partner’s Power 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Tommy the Torch 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cantstoprunning 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Alfatei 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 3 Spaceman 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Danzafied 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Mooji Moo Jr. 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Hold My Call 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Instafamous 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Maine 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kevins Chioce 2.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Fusilli 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Field Officer 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 The Beast and I 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Catch My Vibe 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Lynard 3.50 5.6 10-1
7 7 Del Po 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Wickedly True 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Factum Love Style 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Pop Pop’s Boy 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 It’s So Easy 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Above Par 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Freedom Passage 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Double the Bet 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Positive Force 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Steady Love 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Charly’s Charm 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Wildcattin 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Jane’s Factor 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 4 City Guy 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 3 Richie Goes Global 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 6 Lightning Rob 3.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Drummond 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 1 Rising Storm 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 5 Rodeo Red 20.00 6.5 12-1
1A 9 Violent Impact 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Mongolian Hero 4.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Bad Sueno 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Luvinmeiseasy 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 True Boldness 2.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Mach Trial 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Devine Dental 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Graves Island 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Tomater Gator 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Owin I Am 6.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Jump for Alex 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Whistling Birds 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Wait for It 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Forewarned 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Infuriated 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Deal Driven 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Deep Sea 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Optic Way 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2X 10 The Robert 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 1 Violent Turbulence 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 7 Quality Choice 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 8 O’Kram 8.00 6.1 11-1
11 9 Celtic Treasure 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 6 Paul the Waiter 10.00 7.3 14-1
4 2 Over Sensual 12.00 8.3 16-1
1 5 Star Sign 2.50 8.4 16-1
5 3 Skipin On Orchard 15.00 8.6 16-1
6 4 Screen Saver 12.00 8.8 17-1
1A 8 Grit’n’grind 2.50 SCRATCH
2 9 Hibachi 4.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Peter G. Fox 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Drummer Don 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Woodbury 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Oldfashioned Club 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Kadens Courage 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Eclipsed Moon 15.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Shalako 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Borsa Vento 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Kristi’s Copilot 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Castle Casanova 6.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Kion 20.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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