January 18, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw X. | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bluewater Cat | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D Two | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maintainance Matt | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trivista | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkys Surprise | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Peak | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magi | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Field Day | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Verrazanointhesky | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin for Loki | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Heavy Duty | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Edge to Edge | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warlock Doc | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Way Maker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Park Ridge Benny | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caymans Cobra | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zypto | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flash Attack | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Work | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go for Moonshine | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Familiar Rhythm | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mediamaker | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Wings | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riv | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wentru | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ames Mister | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Citadel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Forest | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Half Cocked | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Walsh | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smokey Harbor | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Phraseologism | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | One Time Gem | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oxwood | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ramirin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Microcap | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saintsation | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Chill | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Kat Taps | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aimara | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princesa Blanca | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Take Charge | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Actress On Board | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Susan Ann | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mila’s Gold | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Hustle | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marywood | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Well Spent | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lebkuchen | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lone Star Diva | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Air Guitar Star | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Special Connection | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Ashley B. | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kick N Kiss | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Minute Waltz | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Comedy | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoom Up | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Theorem | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Social Dilemma | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maystart | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rock Star Parking | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sariah Sariah | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Vincaia | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Famous Attraction | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Anoush | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Rumpus | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Naughty Rendezvous | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Laura’s Angle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Symptom | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alimony Blues | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Inajiffy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Tommy Lee | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Solar Reflection | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Steph’s Spirit | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Sparkle of Hope | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Fastest Spin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sapphire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 16 | Perfect Limit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Roux Ga Roux | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Faith’s Raceday | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Shopper | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goodrockinalvin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thunk | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Win Won Dobbs | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rare Strain | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | In a Bind | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. E Edwards | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.